@ Kama sir With due respect and humble submissin, I beg to inform you that Gail is a 1.28% buyback whereas Moil was a 14.23%. Gail will take 5.7 cr share out of total about 445 cr whereas Moil took 3.38 cr out of about 23 cr. Thank you
Seems AR will be not more than 35,% But who knows if it goes 100% as many will skip due to tcs dampener. Risk is high as gail was recently below 130. 170 will be my exit price ..hope it touch that before record date.
828.4. KAMMA SIVA RAMA KRISHNA|| Link|April 9, 2022 8:04:14 AM
Ashoke Sarkar ji, Thank you very much for your kind response and clarification. That’s why,I have requested you to correct me as I understand that I have missed something.All the best, Sir.
828.5. KAMMA SIVA RAMA KRISHNA1|| Link|April 9, 2022 8:09:01 AM
ColdBurger ji, Of course, I also wish to exit @ Rs.175/- if it reaches. Somehow I believe that Gail will not disappoint anyone. Thank you n all the best.
@KSRK Sir - Thanks for sharing your exit price estimation. Hope you have exited Moil on your pre-estimated 195 ( i think it touched). I exited moil earlier @185 (did not adjust GTT in Zerodha and it was gone in sudden spike :) ). Overall it was above 26K profit in Moil.
What is the last day to buy? What is the last day to sell (if you hold above 2L) if you want to become a retail investor again?
One strategy I'm toying with, and may consider using in future buybacks is to accumulate even above 2L, and sell on the last possible day to book a small profit as others are still buying before the record date, and move back to retail.
i bought 100 shares here for buyback on 16th at 670. lets see, in my opnion company overall is performing good so it may not go too much down during/after buyback.
@KSRK sir: thanks..... yes 32% is good AR....i bought only 10 more shares later after buyback so my avg. buy price is 666 rs for 110 shares....missed to add more shares at lower price. Overall still its an good buyback deal....
I need help in understanding how to participate in open market buyback. Do i need to place daily sell order @875? I had good qty of UPL but now only 16 left looking to exit these now.
I am adding some points for taking decision in this matter. 1. Last year it was a 2.5% buyback, this year it is 1.28% 2. Last year ER was 71 out of 773 (9.18%) in retail, 4 out of 297 in general. 3. So this year ER is expected to be below 5 % taking the same number of retailers. 4.Moreover, craze for participation in buyback found this year and the tax aspirants may further decrease it. 5.Last year AR was 100% as the price got near the buyback price(last year price appreciation was 12% , this year about 24%).This year AR may be in the range of 20% because of more participation . 6.Break even point for 20% AR is 150 assuming that unaccepted shares will not breach 140. 7. The company has given Rs 5 dividend some 18 days ago (before announcement of buyback )which should also be calculated. 8.psu shares are in flavour , Gas price hike have some action. 9.Buying in tranches may not be a good option here. 10. Buying below 150 as much as possible is a good option. Putting preemptive buy bid at the desired level is a good option .mila to mila, nehi to nehi. 11. I don't want to dispirit anybody but high hope can backfire.
Ashoke Sarkar ji, Thank you very much for your kind analysis. I wholeheartedly appreciate your study. I have purchased at a higher rate of Rs. 155.20 with a positive outlook. Let us wait and see. All the best, Sir.
Gail will not come back 150 or 155 . If anybody will buy on 20th April or before then they will be eligible for tender . Expecting atleast 40 % AR here.
@Hostpacker ji, thanks for your views! I'll still try to buy around 169 if available on Monday and see how it goes, looking at the P/E, P/B and EPS, this really seems to be good investment for med-to-long term (for the remaining shares)!
This is my first experience with a buyback. I hold 500 shares . Can I offer all of them in the buyback or only the ones I am eligible to sell according to the email. Will I be able to sell more if the offer is not fully subscribed ?
821.1. Vibhor Saxena|| Link|April 12, 2022 11:35:34 AM
In todays market......no instrument is risk free. Novice investors should exercise special caution in buying specifically to tender those in buybacks. During end to end buyback duration, the stock will gyrate and it is upto the individual to decide their own entry point (if they decide to participate). No one can be sure that at what point in Buyback duration, the stock will be up and when it will be down. Comparing one stock to another for buyback and also comparing one buyback issue of the stock with the earlier issue of the same stock is no way fail proof. One should understand the potential risk and return from the issue and should take their own decision and avoid being guided by others. As no expert is really an expert.
Looks like NPCI has messed up payment of many. I am seeing this first time. RTA still has not received payment file from NPCI, I have called them 3 times already. Send email to RTA regarding the same.
After so many days, today TCS buyback amount is reflecting in broker's ledger account for me.
You all also can check your Demat ledger account. If NPCI is not able to push the money somehow into investor bank account then they push into broker's ledger sometimes. My case is solved.
I have still not received money. I have account I axis direct and at this time I have not received money in the account. When I contacted axis direct, they are saying they don't have anything to do in this matter.
GAIL shares like other PSU stocks will remain in price levels of 125 to 155 as in past many years. It moves up only during dividend & buy backs. Those buying it exclusively for buy back be aware that last buy back acceptance ratio was 100% , however then buy backs were not so much publicized as now.
With many more climbing buy back bandwagon , AR will be lower and GAIL as a share does not move up again as in TCS. Those happy with periodic big dividends can take chance as rest of holding will be at lower price. There is also possibility of GAIL moving to 130 + post record date, as just a week before buy back announcement it was available at 140+.. Decide on based on your own risk. Buy back will also take about 6 to 8 weeks from record date, that is close to 3 months locking funds.
Yea its very much in overbought zone, ideal would be tu buy around 145-150. Any profit as per expected acceptance ratio (25-30%) would be diminished by rest 70-75% share price falling back to where it belongs.
@KAMMA SIVA RAMA KRISHNA ji, wow congrats on your investments. I've purchased 100 shares at 155 today. And what should be the strategy further until 22nd April Record Date, buying on dips? I'm planning to purchase in total 500 shares at different levels. Also, please enlighten us about the bottom levels of this stock that we should be vary of.
Buy on dips, if available. One senior member in another site wishes to buy @ around Rs.140/-only. Opinions may vary from person to person. Everything is possible. All the best n thank you.
@KSRK sir - Happy to see you in active in forum again. I missed the opportunity to buy at lower. Seems I will have to skip this BB with FF. Still bought 650 in one account @159. Above 160 does not seems beneficial as after record date price will come back to 145-150 range and AR will be not more than 50% as an estimate. If it touch 155 then can buy good qty. Gail is always on my radar for price action .
ColdBurger ji, After experiencing the Buyback of TCS, my expectation has fallen drastically. AR may be around 30%. In fact, the number of investors have increased in many folds. One must be so watchful. Thank you.
@amit_K_singh - Do you have idea why USHA Martin gained almost 50 % in last 15 days? I could not find reason behind that, wanted to know if rally has more steam left.
Cold burger, Usha Martin has already reached all time high, it may trade range bound now. It's my view other experts , please share your views.. this run up happened due to current demand in metal sector for Russia Ukraine war..
Thanks @amit ji for the response. Yes it is range bound now. Now seems it is turn of PTC India.missed to buy at 80/-Knowing the scrip is good but some negative news was there. Hope I get opportunity @90
GAIL (India) Buyback
As it is a small buyback unlike moil, buying below 152 may generate some profit.