Dear @lokes @kamma siva reddy. I had applied for nucleus buyback on zerodha within the time limit. The broker called me yesterday to inform that the buyback order couldnot be placed due to a technical fault at exchange. I am staring at a huge loss for no mistake of mine. kindly guide. I have already filed a complaint on sebi scores platform against the zerodha/NSE(whoever is responsible)
@parwesh: nothing can be done now if they really made some mistake or due to technical issue watever , if your order is not placed. You already made complaint in SEBI, that only you can do....you can send mail or call to zerodha also once and complaint but i dont think they will do anything now. I have also tendered via zerodha, no idea what will happen to my order, no updates from them, hopefully that should work.
263. Ananthu M M1|| Link|January 19, 2022 11:02:13 AMReply
>>Moil buyback begins on 28/01 and ends on 10/02. ER is 19.6%.
Will it be possible for you to share the source of this information (any link or website of any other source)? I generally track all stock market news (including buyback) very actively but somehow missed this news so far. Will help me in remaining updated in a timely manner? Thanks for your help.
As to TCS buyback, I am going to furnish some useful historical data for consideration. However, at he outset there is no second thought for participation in the buyback in view of the historical high acceptance ratio beating all arithmetical connotation. Arithmetically it looks meagre but eventually proves to be very profitable. 2017 buyback:- 16000 cr, at 2850/- (21.8% premium) , buyback size 5.61 cr (2.85%), subs was about 2.5 times for nii and retail , AR for retailer was about 50%. 2018 buyback:- 16000cr, @2100 , buyback size 7.61cr (1.99%) subs was about 1.75 times and AR for retailer was 100% 2020 buyback :- 16000 cr @3000 , buyback size 5.33 cr (1.42%) subs was about 1.6 times and AR for retailer was 100 % From this data it is clear that the retailers are not that much interested to participate in such buyback inspite of having 15% reservation. Historically it is also true that after buyback ,price has mostly gone up further . There is a school of thought who preaches that a company launching buyback means it has no ability to do further extension with the amount and has thereby reached to a point of ultra maturity and saturation and therefore buying its own shares at higher price which is a much easier job and shares for such companies must be sold at buyback. But it is true that the buyback is stake appreciation. So theoretically there is not much difference between tendering and not tendering except for retailers probability for extra acceptance and tax efficiency.
2022 buy back:- 18000cr,@4500 ,size 4cr (1.08%) retailers quota 60 lakh Promoter (Tata sons & TICL) having 267 CR, 72.19% as at June21 Total share 370 cr Retailers number 10.8 lac , no of share 11.95 cr (3.24%) , Average 110 (not matching) So arithmetically ER comes at 3.24 % and AR comes at 5.o2% The following points may be noted:- 1. The % of share buy back and so also total numer reducing. 2. No of retailers increasing, one unconfirmed source says that the % of retailer in 2020 was 0.5% causing so high ER and AR . But for me such a low fi gure is difficult to believe. 3.It tranpires that the promoter will participate as ever before and their portion will be 12993 cr out of total 18000 cr. 4. Current nii and retail portion is 4.9% as against 4.4% in June 21. So it is increasing and will further increase. 5. The final AR is a function of the difference between buyback price and the market price , the lower the better as much as the holders will try to offload at higer prices. 6. You have no means to know the final AR until the tendering process is completed. Keeping all points in view, one may expect of AR at least 60% which will give good profit at the end. Best of luck
When you first time replied in response of my dilemma (question) on an ipo main discussion page and few other responses on others, I got the idea that the you are the man of high maturity and moral standards.
Reading above numbers confirm the belief that you are a man of high caliber.
My personal view as I process. Good Evening to you and well done.
Since many retailers are increasing now a days and many are buying just to participate in buybacks (more number than previous times) so i feel final acceptance ratio may not be 100 this time (still it can be above 60% i feel), until price during tender process appreciates upto 4200-4300 rs.
Asoke Kumar Sarkar Ji, Fantastic presentation. I sincerely n wholeheartedly appreciate your expertise. I admire your dedication to collect, study n placing the subject for better understanding of the readers. Really hats off. Please keep posting to enlighten the readers to earn more n more on learning more n more from your valuable posts. Thank you once again n God blesses you with all the best to you.
@Asoke Kumar Sarkar Well explained with figures. Previous buy backs barring Oct 2020, had overhang of capital gains tax. This mattered lot for long time share holders who are required to pay high tax amount as TCS has appreciated multifold. Oct 2020 buy back though was eligible for capital gains tax exemption introduced in July 2020 onwards, it was not well publicized resulting in many of us not tendering assuming high tax outgo. This time however, a big number of long time shareholders are expected to tender as it exempts past 15 to 20 years gains, thus impacting AR to be lower.
>>This time however, a big number of long time shareholders are expected to >>tender as it exempts past 15 to 20 years gains, thus impacting AR to be lower.
Capital gains till 31st Jan 2018 are already exempted from Income tax under grandfathering of gains clause.
Rush to tender may still be there because of the TCS perceived underperformance vis a vis Infosys and HCL.
Market prices considered on 31st Jan 2018 for grandfathering are at NIFTY 10200 levels ! Thereafter nifty gained almost 80%. So long term holdings even after grandfathering benefits exceed capital gain exemption tiny amount Rs.1 lakh allowed post Jan 2018.
Further TCS was quoted at around 2800 in Jan 2018. In May 2018 1:1 bonus shares issued. Bonus shares will be treated zero with out grandfathering with 100% profit attracting capital gain. Original shares too now are at 3900 much above grandfathering price.
Buy Back prices are normally 15 to 20% higher than current market prices. So it makes sense to tender even after grandfathering and also those that do not enjoy grandfathering to avail whatever shares get accepted. Expect high oversubscription this time in buy back.
260.10. IPO Mitr1|| Link|January 19, 2022 11:58:59 AM
I never said that people will not tender but saying that buyback 2022 exempts last 15-20 years capital gains from Income tax is not factually correct and hence my post.
My take is that significant amount of investors in IT will move from TCS to Infosys due to perceived relative underperformance and they will rush to tender as much as possible in Buyback and sell remaining post record date.
Gains exempted out of grandfathering though factually right, is not a big enough reason for less tendering, as gains after post Jan 2018 are phenomenal that is not exempt. Buy back is an opportunity made for mainly for long term shareholders instead of dividends that are taxable is the factual position. Those buying less than 2 lakhs in order to avail small share holder's benefit are making best out of short term opportunity.
Long term investors with investment over decade generally do not rush to sell post buy back as the holding cost is miniscule. They may add more at lower prices having sold in buy back. Short term investors may either sell or continue to hold.
>>Gains exempted out of grandfathering though factually right, is not a big enough reason for less tendering,
Please point out in where did I say that the due to grandfathering there would be less tendering. I only said that grandfathering already protected capital gains till 31st Jan 2018 and hence we should not say that buyback 2022 is protecting last 15-20 years capital gains.
>> as gains after post Jan 2018 are phenomenal that is not exempt. Again where did I say that the above is not correct.
>>Buy back is an opportunity made for mainly for long term shareholders instead of dividends that are taxable is the factual position.
If we are comparing the buyback vs dividend then I agree to the above but I have different opinion on the Blanket statement "Buyback is for the benefit of long term investors" and we can surely agree to disagree on this point. I believe that companies come out with buyback when they wish to show higher EPS in the future without utilizing the "cash in hand" in the growth of the company and its profitability or if when they are forced by very large stakeholders e.g. Government for higher share of company profits. I sincerely doubt that "Benefits to long term retail investors" is the reasons for companies to come out with buybacks. I believe that some long term retail investors get benefitted in the buybacks by default only. It is my personal view and may not align with many but that is absolutely fine.
>>Those buying less than 2 lakhs in order to avail small share holder's benefit are making best out of short term opportunity.
Here also I may politely agree to disagree with you and that is my personal view only. I believe that "good opportunity" or "not so good opportunity" or "bad opportunity" it all depends on the skill of the person to transact optimally during the buyback period e.g. one of the important aspect (along with so many other aspects) is entry (buying) price.....
>>Long term investors with investment over decade generally do not rush to >>sell post buy back as the holding cost is miniscule. They may add more at >>lower prices having sold in buy back. Short term investors may either sell or >>continue to hold.
I am not sure in what context you mentioned this but if it is the context to people switching to Infosys to TCS then I would again say it depends on the psychology of individual investors and also on the fact if investor is the "ACTIVE" or "PASSIVE" one. I have worked with both TCS & INFOSYS both and understand both companies very well. I have also been a long term investors in TCS and INFOSYS both and I, my family, friends and acquaintance who follow their investments "ACTIVELY" do re-balance our investment not every quarter and not after every buyback but whenever there is sustained (over a significant period of time) relative underperformance or overperformance.
I would like to thank you for all your views and appreciate you knowledge and expertise from the bottom of my heart.
259. V gayathry|| Link|January 20, 2022 8:34:17 AMReply
I see heavy dips only in share price. I assumed that since buyback price is 700 so the shares price will atleast go near 700 by the buyback closure date i.e 25 Jan if not higher but rather share has taken a beating in last two days. 153 crores worth of shares will be mopped but will it not push the price up?
On what basis you assumed this: "I assumed that since buyback price is 700 so the shares price will atleast go near 700 by the buyback closure date i.e 25 Jan if not higher " ?? if that happens then buybacks are always too much beneficial, everyone can buy before record date and tender in buyback and sell remaining in open at high price if that happens. So your assumption is wrong. After tendering period, share prices can go anywhere in short term. (but not near to buyback prices in most cases in short term).
its not "much wait" actually. Always it takes around 3 weeks for the ER mail to come after record date. Then buyback starts in around 4 weeks from record date.
KSRK Sir/lokes Sir, what is the maximum number of shares for Ajanta Pharma to held as on today(14th) to be considered as retail? Is it 86? Secondly, whether this buyback is available in BSE? Because my broker told they cannot participate in NSE alone buyback. I faced problem due to this in Nucleus software.
How can one belive the words of so called experts - - 18 to 24 out of 44 shares will be accepted, rest will trade between 3300 to 3600. The so called experts had recommended to buy Paytm on 8 to 15% correction, look where it stands now.(paytm) In BB, market price will surely determine AR. Market price in tender period - - >Nearer to 4500-> higher will be AR, Nearer to 4000 lower will be AR, that's as simple as that
I am getting a problem in tendering shares through icici direct. ERROR MESSAGE was " Add Mandate facility not allowed for Sub broker:" Is anyone else getting that problem? How to resolve? Did it easily for another account through Zerodha.
250.1. Girish Tiwari|| Link|January 18, 2022 11:08:33 AM
Brightcom Group has informed exchanges that a board meeting to be held on January 25, 2022 to consider the proposal to declare bonus shares for the benefit of the shareholders.
*At around 9:31 AM on Monday, Brightcom Group was trading at Rs191.95 apiece up by Rs9.1 or 4.98% on Sensex.
+++++++++++++
Company outlook : *Brightcom Group shares have given multibagger return of over 2,862% in a year's period, from trading around ₹6 to currently hovering over 191 per share.
**The multibagger stock has rallied more than 475% in the last six months alone.
**Brightcom Group is a digital marketing company as it consolidates Ad-tech, New Media and IoT based businesses across the globe. The company's global presence includes the US, Israel, Latin America ME, Western Europe and Asia Pacific regions
***Its clients include leading blue chip advertisers like Airtel, British Airways, Coca-Cola, Hyundai Motors, ICICI Bank, ITC, LIC, Maruti Suzuki, MTV, P&G, Qatar Airways, Samsung, Viacom, Sony, Star India, Vodafone, Titan, and many others.
*****Its last Bonus shares were given at 1:4 ratio, declared in june 2021 and ex bonus date 18/08/2021
it was 100% acceptance ratio for retail category in 2018 and 2020 tcs buybacks. It depends on price movement during tender period, if price comes near to buyback price, then AR ratio comes as 100% since many retailers sell in open market already so don't tender.
Trust me, I tried finding the figures on net but I was only getting information on AR 100% but not ER. Even in Chittorgarh forum I could not find TCS 2020 page. That's why I asked.
@NKJ: Ya its ok. Previously chittorgarh forum was not having buyback pages, they started buyback pages recently from last year and still those were not active since mostly people were commenting about buyback sometimes on main ipo pages only. I had to put lot of efforts in comments and had to face lot of criticism from many people, to make these buyback pages active with the help of @KSRK sir. Now some footfalls are there on buyback pages too in chittorgarh, still some people who want to show off and to get more people attention, keep posting about buybacks on main ipo pages itself. Leave it, their wish. @Admin needs to decide these things anyways. Btw previously investorzone was main active site for buybacks, there in comments section all the extra information is available for older buybacks. I got from here only. https://investorzone.in/buyback/tata-consultancy-services-limited-tcs-buyback-2020/
Yes I remember that last year, some members had requested pages exclusively for Buybacks and remember @KSRK sir due to his uniquely long name (no offence :) ) and his absolute love for buybacks. I had just started following this forum that time so don't remember who else (including you) was there. And since then i come and check buybacks regularly but never participated in buybacks due to some confusions and fear that after important dates share prices are falling and i may get trapped. This time I am taking part in MPS with very low quantity to understand how it works.
Anyways, Thanks again for your effort for helping other members with your excellent knowledge you have acquired.
As per Anil Singhvi: As per the expectations of the market, around 18-24 shares are likely to be approved out of 44 shares. Remaining will trade around 3300-3600
The CMP of TCS is already near 4000 level and let's say it may be expected to oscillate near by 4000-4200 level leading upto few days before the record date (this is a very conservative view).
And last buyback of TCS suggests that there is likelihood of share price crossing BB price post record date or post shares debit date.
TCS has given good growth coupled with more than expected profit.
Does Anil Singhvi means to say that TCS will go HGS way.? This is little unreasonable why shareholders will punish TCS when there is no ground to do so.
May be he was in upset mood.. 😉
Sir, imho let's hope and pray for the best.
Counter view is more than welcome, I could be wrong also in my above assessment, more finer arguments are expected. 🙏🙏
Hi, Any one help me with the following questions. 1. What is the minimum number of shares to be kept on record date to participate in the buy back? 2. On which date the shares will be unblocked in case of not accepted shares and On which date the amount will be credited to bank account in case of accepted shares.
1. no minimum requirement, sometimes even one share got accepted by the company. otherwise small shareholder is < INR 2 lakhs and above that is general. 2. all the tendered shares will be debited from your account once the offer closes and within few days, on the settlement date, the amount will be deposited to the bank and the unaccepted shares will be credited back to dp. Refer the offer letter/email from Registrar for the timelines.
Retail quota Rs.2 lakhs.Does it mean that you are considered retail only if you are less than 2 lakhs holding in D Mat or if you offer only less than 2 lakhs approx.45 shares for buyback.Views on this please.
you are considered in retail category only if you have less or equal to the value of Rs. 2 lakhs shares holding in D Mat at the calculation of buyback price which is 4500 inr,, that translates to 44 shares.
one can buy even 45 or 46 shares also.. but to be buy and forget type buy 44 shares.. since at least 1 - 1/2 months time is still there, and s price is supposed to appreciate.
@K.Atar: this 2 lakh value is considered as per share price on record date not as per buyback price of 4500. May be you already know, am just informing once as in your first comment you mentioned as per 4500 rs so. ya for safer side upto 45 shares are fine even.
Ya lokes Sir, exactly 2 lakh threshold is important. Share price appreciation is just guess work so i said buy 44 and forget, its the safest number. even a price difference of 50 rs leading upto buyback finalization day will fetch as almost 2000 rs (even if 90% acceptance).
And as you Sir rightly put it this BB will be different since record number of new entrants in securities market.
And TCS is such a respectable name.
**45 or 46 shares are also good but not as safe as 44.
@KSRK sir: As per bids seen on this link: nseindia.com/market-data/tender-issue-information?symbol=NUCLEUS&type=Active it looks like general category will have 100% acceptance ratio and retail category will have 63-65% acceptance ratio.
Sir, The link may be copied n pasted in the google site and search/ enter. Then you will get three columns. You can find the particulars there. Thank you.
Nucleus Software Buyback
Dear @lokes @kamma siva reddy. I had applied for nucleus buyback on zerodha within the time limit. The broker called me yesterday to inform that the buyback order couldnot be placed due to a technical fault at exchange. I am staring at a huge loss for no mistake of mine. kindly guide. I have already filed a complaint on sebi scores platform against the zerodha/NSE(whoever is responsible)