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My reading is TCS price can settle below 4000/- share . It means that a retail investor category individual can hold unto 50 share as on record date i.e. 23/02/22. With only 2 more trading days before the record date, it's unlikely to spike above 4000/-
Please correct me if I am wrong.

Anything can happen

It can be that there is an operators who's making sure that on 21st/22nd the CMP of scrip stays below 3800 and within a matter of a day they can make crash the scrip making the rate go lower than 3500 and make retail shiver and confuse them :
1. to book loss/ profit now OR
2. Wait for 2 months for buyback window to open and then get marginal profit