According to Tradeswift Broking''s Sandeep Jain , VBL is a big avoid as its revenues & losses can''t be understood . So no question of fair price . Till then wait and watch as there are many IPOs in the November pipeline.
Where is Om Finvest Mumbai ?
Strongly advised to subscribed and to avoid PNB Also IPO Central suggested to subscribe and avoid PNB
Firstly happy Diwali to all forum member last few years we having eco friendly Diwali suggest all do the same d''not burn ur money when u light some poor families So as informed the forum I have gone an applied in HNI let see what''s happens
Karan thank u for ur appreciation. IMO it is less of power is more of calculated risk. Let me explain short run all are negative say 99% only 1% positive however if you read the comment 100% or majority of them r bullish or positive on long run. So i have taken a calculated risk if my strategy works i get a handsome return if it fails it will be short term long run i will be fine with averaging or just keep it long term.
basically fear and greed majority are fearing this IPO will be bad and chance of that happening is high however that little chance of that not happening will give handsome return and downside is limited
Just tried to analyse this on my own as I usually do these things at last moment. Comparing with their last year performance: Their June 2015 Six month figures: Revenue: 2240 cr Expense: 1989 cr Profit : 251 Cr PAT: 167 Cr Their Dec 2015 1 Year figures: Revenue: 3408 cr Expense: 3246 cr Profit : 162 Cr PAT: 87 Cr
So, they usually have losses in the 2nd half of the year, that eat their 1st half profit.
If the trend for this year will be same they could be at close of the year at 90-95 Cr PAT which puts yearly PE around 75x, which is too expensive.
They timed the IPO cleverly, so they can get the valuation benefit of 1st half, this is pure cheating by the company.
Usually companies publish their figures based on Financial year, This company very intelligently manipulated the data and published it for Calendar year, so they can hide their 2nd half losses.
Anyone has their quarterly figures for Sept 16 quarter? I bet it will be a bad quarter.
You r right as sales in H 2 r muted and there are fixed cost attached.However the profit would improve because of refuction in interest cost as well as % fixed cost as a percentage of sales as sales growth is v high
Yes sales growth is high but their expenses growth is also high, looking at their books they are unable to handle their expenses resulting in very low margin.
your 2nd point of interest savings, even if we consider that still the PE comes around 60-65x which is too high.
They are not jubilant food who entered market very early, they are Pepsico and are present here for a long time, so most of the things are stable for them but still they are not able to control their expenses, So, Franchise premium is also not applicable to them.
If you look at the QIB subscription, only Foreign Institutional Investors are applying. Domestic mutual funds and institutions are not applying in a big way. It is avoidable IPO.
Check here https://www.nseindia.com/products/content/equities/ipos/ipo_current_vbl.htm?cat=A http://www.bseindia.com/markets/publicIssues/BSEDemandSchedule_new.aspx?Scripcode=2283