Uma Exports Limited IPO Message Board (Page 6)

UMA EXPIRT GMP@???

🌟 IPO Update
🔸️Hariom Pipe Industries IPO
Dates: 30th Mar to 5th April
Price Band: Rs 144 - Rs 153
Lot Size: 98 Shares
IPO Size : Rs 130Crores
🔸️ I'm not applying in Uma Exports IPO & Vernada Learning IPO.

T group listing and hit UC with 5 % for next few session .
If QIB will cross 20x then sure apply with all account.
Here HNI have no role. It may be 5x or less.

@hostpacker... 21x QIB sub for 1% size cannot be criteria for success of Likhita, there must be other reasons like good financials etc. I mean Uma will succeed only if financials and offer is good and issue subscribed reasonably well, not by qib 20x. BTW now a days all IPOs are surprising me either way good or bad. I hope it gives good returns.

PAT increases YOY basis. Export for grains to afganishtan, bangladesh and Srilanka as client with minimum profit margin.

Filatex India share Buyback particulars:

Record Date: 8/4/2022
Buyback Price : Rs. 140/-
Mode of the buyback: Tender Offer
CMP: Around Rs. 127/-
Buyback Size: Rs. 59.5 Crores

Only 10 % No need to take risk

Promoters seem to have pledged their 33% share but they are doing this buy back. doesn't it look odd?

Sir GMP ?

Dear Chittorgarh Admin team,

This site is really useful for us to track the IPOs. I see 2 background colors (yellow for ongoing IPOs, light green for new listings/on listing day). Can you use a different color for the IPOs on closing day? This will help as many are applying on last day. With this, we can look at IPOs that are closing today? This should save a lot of time for many members.

Thank you in advance.

Good question
Lets see my opinion on colours

Day 1. Yellow colour like now
Day 2 . Green colour
Day 3. Red colour .( Final day)

Yellow colour - when issue is open
Green colour - on listing day
Red/orange colour - final day of issue
Just a suggestion. Others can comment. I am a beginner. :)

GOODAFTERNOON. @MR RAVI ,IPOANALYSIS,AVENUE,LOKES. KINDLY GUIDE CAN WE SUBSCRIBE UMA FOR LISTING GAINS. ALSO I AM STILL HOLDING COOL CAPS. WHAT TO TO DO WITH COOL
CAPS. THANKS EVERYONE

Why retailer offered 69% of issue instead of 35% usaually

Why this IPO is not showing in Upstox ?

It's not showing in SBI SECURITIES also?

Listing may be 90-92

How can u say it will list around 90-92??
Becz thr is no trade......

At least 5000 profit per allotment

All reviews are negative - Experts please comment

Dear Admin,
Change the QIB Quota & Retail quota of this IPO

any GMP ?

@ Yash Chopraji
In response to your query , I like to inform you that it is a 44 yr old calcutta based company engaged in dealing with agricultural products, chemical, minerals, auto parts, taxi meters and project works. Also works with railway tenders in Bangladesh and Srllanka. It has a manufacturing unit of medical devices .
It is a small company with less than 30 employees. Profit margin 1- 1.5%
So, it can not be a long term bet (somebody may speak for WB overhang)
For any listing gain in any IPO, set up is more important than anything else which is missing here. 69% retail, 29% NII i.e 98% floating , absense of QIB and T2T is a formidable combination not seen earlier and indicative of a discount listing.
All these negative factors may be surmounted by a single factor that it a very small size ipo which can be easily manipulated in the opposite of the popular thinking.
It is very difficult to foresee the course of such small ipo . Neither it is an avoid as it is so small.
Limiting the size according to risk taking ability is an intermediate option.
I don't know your profile , so can't encourage / discourage you for 100 lot application. Just to see whether the risk appetite is within the risk taking ability /supported by earlier years gains.
Thanking you

Thanks Sarkar ji ...After your valuable suggestions ..i m going to change my mind ..now will concentrate on Ruchi soya and Hari om pipes...Uma exports 5-10 lots maximum..

Hariom Pipe Industries Limited IPO

Date : 30 Mar - 05 Apr,2022
Fave Value : Rs 10
Price : Rs 144 - 153
Market Lot : 98 Shares
Appl Amt : Rs 14,994
Issue Size : Rs 130 Cr
Retail Quota: 35%

Dear friends,
The month of April is approaching by and by . The change in configuration of NII subs is going to come by . I have tried to catch a glimpse of the possible change in the configuration in my own way of thinking.
I have worked with six earlier IPO in the light of incoming changes . To do it, I have taken the subs figure of 14 to 67 lots and tried to see how the intrigued probability changes .
1 . MEDPLUS
NII subs 85 times ; Retail allotment (RA) 1: 3.7 ; 14 lot NII allotment (NA) =1:6
Total shares for NII (TSN) =26.25 lac. Total shares alloted to 14 to 67 lots i.e the defined group (DG) = 8294 at 0.31%.
Under 5% quota the percentage should be 33.3%. So increase in chance is 107 times which means that the NA ratio will change from 1/6 to 107/6 which means that persons applying for 14 lots will get all 14 lot instead of 1: 6.
Its really a sea change.
2. DATA PATTERN
NII subs 254 times ; RA= 1: 17 ; NA = 1:18 ; TSN = 15.08 lac ; DG =12370 i.e 0.82 %
Chance of allotment will be 41 times means NA will change from 1:18 to 41/18 i.e average 2.27 lot
3. SUPRIYA
NII subs 161 times; RA = 1:42 ; NA = 1:11 ; TSN = 38.32 lac; DG= 27994 i.e 0.73%
Chance of allotment 46 times which means 4 lot allotment instead of 1: 11
4. NYKAA
NII subs 111 times; RA=1:7.5 ; NA = 1:7 ; TSN = 70.98 lac ; DG = 23961 i.e 0.3375%
Chance of allotment 99 times which means all 14 lot allotment instead 1: 7
5.LATENT VIEW
NII subs 875 times ; RA = 1:80, NA =1:62 ;TSN = 45.22 lac; DG=29868 i.e 0.66%
Chance of allotment 50 times which means one lot allotment of 50 out of 62 instead of 1 out of 62.
6. PARAS DEFENCE
NII sub 962 times; RA =1:76 ; NA= 1:67; TSN= 14.63 lac; DG= 13240 i.e 0.9%
Chance of allotment 37 times which means one lot allotment of 37 out of 67 instead of 1 out of 67.
So we see huge changes in the chance of allotment in ref group
Some of the following points may have some lowering effect :
1. Retailers hitherto enjoyed mostly higher ratio with much lower investment. Some atleast who used to give bid for higher lots (average 5% of retailers ) may enter this group for the expectation of higher chances.
2. The chance of above 10 lac group will decrease, so some may come with more number of application to be eligible under this group.
3.Nbcc group may flock to make business of this segment with higher rate of interest.
4.persons putting large numer of applications in retail may consolidate under this group.
But chance will increase to a great extent . This is certain.
Thanking you

@ Vinny
Exactly ; Maximum is 14 and else is zero.
Thank you

@Asoke Sarkar

Appreciate your tremendous effort in this regard

Experts, brothers
Please tell should I apply or not ?
No experience I have in ipo please reply

Ok sunil bhai🙏

@suneel
For 50 times you mean it will attract 27000 into 50 times application. Very little chance of that
Incidentally would new HNI allotment guideline apply to this issue as allotment is happening after April 1, 2022

Dear rajakumar,Aniket,avenue,kamashiva ,mravichandra,IPO analysis,eagle eyes,owls eyes sir,ipo bull,Amit pathak ,noorul,lokes and chittorgarh family members).. Should we go for apply or not?

@PKraj sir
@Arun sir is right in normal circumstances.
But if you buy short selling of somebody , the same will not come on t+2 and you are subject to penalty.
Sometime the cr of share are shown late night/ next day morning for delayed updation and merger . It has no material effect.

@M.Ravichandran sir your final call please

BIG Breaking
Uma Exports Limited IPO Revised

Date : 28 to 30-Mar-2022
FV : Rs 10
Price : Rs 65 - Rs 68
Lot : 220 Shares
App Amt : Rs 14,960
Size : Rs 60 Cr
Retail : 69%
Retail Form : 27,674
QIB : 2%
NII : 29%

@spock bro at what x subscription, we must make our mind to apply for listing gains please reply
..

Suddenly things are changed. Earlier looks attractive, now looks high risk and sentiment will play.
There could be a good reason for QIB turn down , looks like better to avoid unless good subscription from HN1 .
I think less than 3X HNI on day 3 means clear avoid. Can't trust subscription on day 1 and 2.
Will wait for experts review.

I am sorry this may not look related to ipo but uma export site has wrong Indian map. So they should correct it first.

Request @chittorgarh admin to terminate account of this uncivilized person
@Md Kaazim Ali

Mr Kaazim aisi language use krne par aapki kamiz utar jayegi yahan
@admin pls block this person