143.1. Krishna T| Link| Bookmark|
August 14, 2023 12:51:53 PM
IPO Guru (1600+ Posts, 900+ Likes)
I think you already posted the answer with question either to apply or not :)
143.2. Lokesh Chiru| Link| Bookmark|
August 14, 2023 1:32:28 PM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
@VIP: As per valuation and other financial metrics (P/E, ROE, ROCE, ROA, Debt) this company should not be subscribed. Even compared to well established peers like Blue dart express, Mahindra Logistics express, TCI express this issue is aggressively priced.
Coming to brand Zomato, Paytm, LIC, Nykaa all these are well branded companies but shareholders lost enormous wealth (though Zomato, Nykaa gave good listing gains and short term gains) but who bought after listing lost heavily in these companies. So branding cannot be deciding factor to apply in an IPO.
Coming to subscription figures, even though Anchor investors are good but other subscriptions are not encouraging (QIB=0.5 only as of 1 PM). Remember this is just 880 cr issue (not large enough) and QIB (75%) is not even subscribed fully. On the contrary QIB has 75% quota and retail only 10% so selling pressure won't be huge.
Also note the market is in downtrend since couple of weeks and is ripe for correction due to global factors that include inflation, geo-political tension and absence of Fed pivot in near future. This might influence listing and can list in discount as well.
Bottomline: Just based on QIB quota (Anchor investors) and TVS brand if one is ready high risk 10 to 15% listing gains are possible but purely based on valuation metrics and current market setup this issue can be ignored.
Comparison with listed peers on P/BV and P/E parameters. 01. TCI Express - 9.43 - 39.33 02. Mahindra Logistics - 4.24 - 36.27 03. Blue Dart - 11.83 - 48.24 04. Delhivery - 3.23 - -ve 05. TVSSCS - 4.29 - 209.57 Just for information. Take your own call to apply or not.
QIB RESPONSE IS VERY POOR ONLY 0.49 TIMES , EVERY BODY WILL GET ALLOTMENT AND LISTING GAINS ARE RULED OUT. FINANCIAL ARE NOTHING GREAT TO SPEAK ABOUT. I HAVE DECIDED NOT TO APPLY
135.3. svh| Link| Bookmark|
August 14, 2023 11:55:56 AM
IPO Guru (2400+ Posts, 3600+ Likes)
Avoiding completely. Aggressive issue price + geopolitical risk. Expecting listing range 185-200 Long Term Target after listing 150-175
🙏👍
135.4. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
August 14, 2023 12:05:31 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
i wont be taking risk here to apply in hni as ipo valuations are too high and gmp is also very low, doesnt look like good candidate for short term....i will apply in retail if QIB crosses around 4-5x minimum....
@Mr.Investor This is no for me. Don't want to take risk. Not interested even for long term. Take your own decision as per your risk appetite. More more are there for SHELTER.
134. G profit| Link| Bookmark|
August 14, 2023 9:17:04 AM
IPO Mentor (1000+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
@G profit This is avoid for me in view of high pricing. You may apply through UPI and you have time upto 17.00 hrs. to accept mandate. Keeping watching the subscription figures if you want to apply. Decision to apply will be yours only. Market looking bit disappointing. But likely to be on better side shortly.
In spite of the TVS Legacy , this Issue is struggling as the performance being not appealing and the perception of aggressive pricing on FV 1. End of day subscription is almost unpredictable.
DIIs and MFs are slowly coming and QIB Subscription stands at 0.25 times till now. Many Retail Applicants may withdraw , if QIB subscription not pick up before 2 pm.