I m not applying for this ipo Low Listing gains possible But I find it risky Less retail participate will end of LEMON TREE like listing kind(IMO) One should subscribe if want to take risk
*TCNS CLOTHING CO. LTD.* *LAST DAY SUBS.FIGURE AT 10:28 A.M.* QIB 7.00X NII 0.09X RII 0.09X TOTAL 2.06X **Excluding Anchor Total No.of FORMS : 17,978 *Apps Wise : 0.07X*
123. Johny| Link| Bookmark|
July 20, 2018 9:37:21 AM
IPO Mentor (700+ Posts, 1000+ Likes)
Be careful in blindly following subscription figures. There have been recent cases of fake subscriptions/last moment withdrawals. Check the subscription figures of recent IPOs (both mainline and sme) and actual subscription in basis of allotment.
Credit of this success of this IPO ofTCNS goes to Mr Modi whose moves are leading to financialisation of currency notes and few other assets. He and the Bharat Mata will succeed if this hard earned money of small investors going in these high priced issues through mutual funds and financial institutions give them returns in long run say 2 years.
Aniketiaf sir, I have always blindly followed your primary & secondary market advice and get benefited almost all the times. But first time in TCNS I am totally confused. Almost every body r negative on this counter expect you and SPT. please give guidance.
Monte Carlo subscription details can be found here /ipo/ipo_calendar_detail.asp?a=2575&b=437 QIB was oversubscribed almost 14 times and RII almost 7 times. GMP went as high as Rs 250. And on listing day and for a couple of years after that - the company never traded above IPO price.
Check this article also- /article/monte_carlo_listing_an_eye_opening_saga/98/
119.2. SJ| Link| Bookmark|
July 19, 2018 10:43:46 PM
IPO Guru (1300+ Posts, 3200+ Likes)
This is the reason I prefer to watch HNI numbers as they are the king makers.It should be at least 15x-16x.I remembered that fiasco.Many grey market punters made huge loss after they came to know that co. made invt. in realty and infra biz. from IPO proceeds.Many have corelated this with ADAG IPO type.
Issued shares @ 373 in June, 2018 and now asking price of > 700. What changed so fast. Since it is only OFS, no money will come to company, only promoters & existing shareholders will enjoy. They want retail investors to finance their party. I find it a big avoid whatever may be subscription figure.
117.1. ipo share| Link| Bookmark|
July 19, 2018 8:07:58 PM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Gnsarda. You are absolutely right. From previous few IPO listings, it is clear that even high subscription doesn't guarantee good listing unless valuations and management background is good.
117.3. ipo share| Link| Bookmark|
July 19, 2018 8:15:26 PM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
HDFC Asset Management sold shares to distributors in April this year at Rs 1,050 per share. Now it is demanding 1350 just after two months. Don't understand rationale behind fixing different price for different investors. Maybe they are over confident after success of HDFC Life. Seems very expensive ipo.
Dude, I request you to please study RHP carefully before getting annoyed by my word "Illogical"
Matrix Holdings & Matrix India made investments in Company via PREFERENTIAL shares in year 2011. They were offered EQUITY shares via share purchase agreement in 2016-17. This is mere BOOK ENTRY which involves conversion of preference shares to equity shares
I have already read the prsoectus. the average cost of acquistion is 30 rs for promoter.
So why are you so offensive about this. It is even lower than what i have told.If you are so positive please apply in HNI category. I think you will have full allotment
Promoter or shareholder they have been alloted only recently at 373 rs and they are asking double the price. Why are you defending this and causing this illogical
Both promoter and selling shareholders have bought at dirt cheap price.
Rs 373 was on the basis of profit of Rs 157.97 lacs annually (Previous year loss) Now company is making profit of Rs 980.97 lacs. Company is expecting further growth and hence more profits in future. So, Present Value of Future Cash Flows comes into play now
I know you have got Badge of "IPO Guru" and you don't want to be wrong
I will look at subscription figures before applying to this one because only Company Auditor knows that 900 lacs profit in 2017-18 is real one or cooked one
It is well known fact that before ipo most of them show increase profit to justify valuation Anyway i think yuo are too postive and dont want to hear anything neagtive about the company
listen to Anil singhvi comments- clearly avoid due to expensive valuation. even Arvind is ruling cheaper and they left nothing on table . clearly a sign where in selling shareholder want to exit with maximum profit and laugh their way to bank. Apart from being debt free/less there is not a single reason to apply
I was not arguing, I was correcting you but of no avail. You are still busy in giving importance to cost of acquisition of shares which doesn't matter at all
What were u correcting .u were wrong and not accept the fact. It is fact cost of acquisition of promoters is too low. When you issues in 2018 at 373 why anyone would pay double the price. It was greed of lead manager. It is only greedy people like u who apply thinking to apply in everything. I am sure u have been alloted and now sittibg with loss. It is a joke u made of itself . So better not comment on anyone saying it's stupid when u r itself proved now
See how dhan ki Baar changes his statement and not accept fact that the priced was higher and cost of acquisition of share in 2018 does not matter. What a joke . Why it does not matter to give someone exit at double price in a year. It shows greed of company and lead manager. At that time he did not accept that it has been sold at 373 and now he is changing statement that it does not matter. That is why dear please read everything before giving ur baseless comments and now it's a big answer with stock listing price.
Investment was made via preference shares in 2011. In 2016 only conversion from preference to equity took place, no consideration was given @373
RITES Issue Price 185, Cost of acquisition less than 1 Lemon Tree Issue Price 56, Cost of acquisition between 6 and 21 Sandhar Tech Issue Price 332, cost of acquisition between 7 and 84 Bandhan Bank Issue Price 375, cost of acquisition 26 Astron Paper Issue Price 50, cost of acquisition between 2-10 HDFC AMC Issue Price 1100, cost of acquisition between 15-19 HDFC Life Issue Price 290, cost of acquisition between 10-41
Enough spoon feeding has been done from my side...please do some homework before posting shit...
Hahaha please study and do some analysis before talking nonsense. Is preferential conversion to shares not a price .yes it is . At that time you were talking that this has not happened.now talking stupidity that I mean it is ok to price it . First stick to ur comments. U mention that it did not happen .. read ur comments carefully.. whether equity or conversion the price is still 373. U were defending this price at 716 . Check comments of anil singhvi as well . He clearly mention allotment at such lower price recently and nothing left for listing gain.. don't talk stupid rites is a govt. Company and morever it price it too less and left lot on table to gain in price. U need to gain some knowledge in stock market first before giving ur useless comments.
Thus the rule of this game now is - book profit immediately post listing - recover your principal amount - check post-tax of profit, how much money is left - keep only that much share-equivalent of that net-profit quantity in your demat account - virtually that is your free gain - as if that few stocks you have earned for free. Now do not bother of fundamentals - and just sit tight and enjoy the dance of indian stock market. Here, very few quality companies come up in IPO. Mostly it is a Big Bazaar quality market - the brands of TCNS are mainly available there. The days of Infy, TCS, Page (Jockey), finding gems in IPO market - are long gone.
Please do not go by all these subscription figures - all these QIBs, HNIs, Anchors - all are opportunistic money managers just here to make a short term moolahs and fly away from cuckoo's nest. No long term view, no firm investment committment. This entire IPO business in Inda is very dicey. I was checking the anchor investor lists and QIB lists of some of the top-rated IPOs of past - they had such dazzling names - Amansa, Vanguard, Jupiter, Pinewood, Fidelity, Blackrock, JP Morgan, Amundi - and our host of domestic mutual funds - after 1 year - the stock prices are now lurking around IPO prices - and in the list of institutional holders name - you will hardly find names of any of these Anchors, QIBs or the initial MF investors. By the time RIIs may think they have made gem of an investment, all anchors are gone - and no more juice or demand is left in the stock.
Who are these QIBs?? Are they fly-by-night investors?? They invest in huge quantities in IPO and the moment the stock gets listed, even if there is incremental listing gain, they sell off in hordes and fly away, leaving poor retail investors in loss. Similarly, anchor investors - FPIs or Domestic Mutual Funds - whoever invests as anchor in IPO - after compulsory 1 month lock in period all flies away from the nest of stock, leaving the foolhardy RIIs sulking in a corner.