I was away today.Just checking the JP Infra subscription figures & was not surprised at all.Whatever I had predicted have all come true.Markets nervousness,Subscription expectations etc.I had also given clear advice to put in only physical applications.Following are my messages which clearly foresaw what would happen.
sreedhar May 03, 2010 12:31:57 PM IST Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Ltd (SJVNL) Those who are applying for SJVNL & JP infra should apply in Physical form if possible.It will give a chance to bail out if Subscription is not as per expectation.IPOs subscriptions are very low nowadays after the pasting of jewellary shares & below par performance of heavily subscribed IPOs & general nervousness about Markets in May .Many Market participants are nervous about markets dropping in May.
sreedhar May 02, 2010 10:14:38 PM IST Jaypee Infratech Limited (JIL) 3-3.5 is my subscription target for SJVNL & 1-2 is the subscription target for JP Infra .There is a small chance it will be even less .ganesh especially ,intrasoft,goenka etc have dealt a body blow to IPOs.Several big subscribers(who put more than 6 max applications) in our board including myself,Sahranpuri,Ravi etc are staying away from JP Infra & also several of our friends are staying away .Our board is a sample of general retail investors in India & hence I donot see how JP will oversubscribe when most of our boarders are staying away.
sreedhar May 01, 2010 9:57:59 AM IST Tara Health Foods Limited Dear gem, JP Infra will definitely be issued at 102 .SJVNL may be issued at 25 or 26 depending on bids.It most probably will not be issued at 23 unless the bids come in the last day at 23.I still believe JP Infra will not be subscribed much(hardly 1 time & at best 2 times) & hence it is a high risk reward game.If you get very good allotment & listing is good then rewards will be high but considering it is May where typically markets tank it carries high risk as well.I will better protect my capital than risk it.Regarding SJVNL there is no doubt it will be subscribed much better than JP & max risk will be listing at 5 percent discount which is our price .Anyways how many full applications you are making for both the Issues?
sreedhar Apr 30, 2010 11:27:48 PM IST Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Ltd (SJVNL) Thought of digging deep into SJVNL IPO.It has been a long time since I spent time on researching a public Issue.I have decided to go for SJVNL with all guns blazing(7-8 max applications) as I am now confident I will be getting more than expected 2K from 1 full applications.Following are the reasons for my decision: 1)Compared to NHPC It is equal or better in all parameters.Based on next FY P/BV(1.4) it is on par with NHPC.Its ROE of 12-13% is far superior to that of NHPC(a measly 8%) & Its PE 10-11 FY11 is far cheaper than NHPC PE 14% FY11. 2)FIIs & Institutions were expecting a price band of 27-30 & are pleasantly surprised with the price band & hence a good response is expected. 3)Of all the IPOs this is issued at an attractive price. 4)Compared to JP Infra which is expensive the risk inherent is very less. 5)Out of the total bids received a reasonable chunk is at lower price hence there is a chance the price may be discovered at lower than 26. 6)GMP is 1.So even if Issue is subscribed 3 times in retail(My prediction is 2-3 times with 3 being most probable) & It lists at 27.5 you will get 4 K easily & at the least 26 also 2K profit. 7)PSU Issuances are very safe(NHPC was an exception since it was issued at an astronomical price).Even NMDC which is a costly issue is maintaining easily near 300 & now UBI has surpassed DQE,Persistent ,ILFS etc in net returns.REC & UBI which were issued at reasonable valuations & for persons like me who have bought UBI below 70 they have given good returns.
So overall my friends I have decided to go for SJVNL as it is the best Issue which Carries the least risk.I am avoiding JP as doubts exist whether it is Infra or Real estate & anyhow it is expensive & I am not going for expensive Issues at any rate in this environment.
Note:Applying in physical format so that if Issue does not get subscribed as expected I can bail out
NII, RII, Others will get full allotment. QIB will get atleast 63 shares for every 100 shares applied. After listing demand will come from which corner?. Only selling after listing. allotment would be @ Rs.110/- & after listing will available at 95 to 100. "HAPPY INVESTING"
Tara food will subscribe after 1 pm on closing day. entire ipo will subscribed by QIB and HNI and there after it will list around 202 and operator will get around Rs. 35/- per share. so apply at Rs. 180 and you will get Rs. 20/- per share or Rs. 10,000/- per full application.
GEM , Congrats on SJVNL.My estimation of 4k non risk profit has come true .Very happy for that.Those who have applied for SJVNL will make very decent profit.You have made 10 applications for 200 shares each in Intrasoft if I remember correctly.What happened to those shares?Did you sell them or still holding them? You never apply for Issues in which retail get full allotment,was CoxNKings an exception?
Dear Sreedhar, (1)You are perfectly right that one must apply in physical form in sjvnl so that if issue fails then we can go for stop payment(2)Someone has given subscription detials for 12:20 hrs.As per my knowledge figures are updated hourly only.Can anyone pl throw light on this?
Hello all India main no. of companies hai to very heavy premium per IPO lekar aati hai. Jab Company ke pass kuch hai hee nahi to kya to unka product or kya unke shares ki rate. Govt. to is types ki co. ke IPOs ko without premium hee permission deni chahiye so that investors ko bahut bada loss nahi ho. every one agree with my comments ?