162. Ou Ai| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 4:58:28 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
TMB originally promoted by Nadar's for trading continues to be more TN focused bank which can be considered its forte. Let us look at some positives, - 101 year old bank with stable growth and rewarded shareholders consistently - CASA deposits are about 30% and at good levels - 75% business in TN - Customer retention ratio is at 75% ( over 5 years) - Loan book has about 88% of retails, SME, Agri with ticket size between 4.25 L to 13L - NIM is 4.1 but excluding extra earned this year is about 3.8 healthier than many other banks -Gross NPA 1.69%
Post issue capital is 160 cr - EPS of 58 - Cost to income ratio 42.1 % best in the industry for branches -Capital Adequacy post IPO 832 Cr infusion is at 22.1 % one of the highest in banking industry
Bank's regional concentration in TN may be considered a good positive with loyal clients, conservative lending and low NPA at 1.69%. Litigation is mainly on equity shares kept in abeyance & lock in due to allotment to few individuals which is purported to have violated FERA , now FEMA rules. This dispute is ongoing past 13 years and least affected bank's functioning. With IPO and larger public holding any future decisions will consider public shareholder interest too. Mere change in ownership of equity changing hands will not affect the bank unless management is changed. New MD & CEO S Krishnan assuming charge from 3rd Sept is former Punjab & Sindh bank MD & CEO who turned around that PSU from PCA norms.
From all angles, TMB is a worthwhile holding on long term investment. TMB is the last of older banks to come out with IPO with no more banks left. Most on this board decide to apply as they see the oversubscription numbers steeply rising. This is seen even in SME issues where several SME firms don't even have the required base to do their business & do not deserve such demand from retail investors. One of the recent company that got hugely oversubscribed last week is known to me decades with really no fundamental ability to generate any profits as part of core business has been sold out. However in SME IPOs what matters is number of lots and oversubscription with operator's market manipulation.
TMB is a quality issue for those seeking wealth creation over a longer period even if it lists at par or mild negative which is unlikely. As a long term investor , I am applying in this. Do go for this with a holding time of 2 to 5 years....or more
162.1. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 7:15:21 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
CASA deposits @30% not an encouraging number for a 101 years old legacy bank. Since people should be trusting this bank and keeping their money with the bank in CASA, it should’ve been a healthy 50%, but the same is not the case.
From previous experience, almost all controversial IPO’s (except a few) gave listing gains.
After reading all comments section, 30%-apply & 70%-not apply. I'm finally waiting for Jithin Lal Ji response(Based on Aether prediction).
159.1. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 4:46:12 PM
IPO Guru (2000+ Posts, 1700+ Likes)
World has already gone and applied. Impressive numbers in all categories. Remember that all BHNI numbers are ASBA blocked and on day 1. Even SHNI and retail numbers are impressive given UPI mandates may not have been confirmed by many so far
158. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 4:41:23 PM
IPO Guru (2000+ Posts, 1700+ Likes)
Impressive part on day 1 at 3 PM is QIB and BHNI subscription. Retail subscription looks low as many would not have received their UPI mandate so far I got UPI mandate after 4 hours
157. CSK| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 4:35:59 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
I am from Tamil Nadu and know the TMB reputation and 103 years of legacy. I hope it won't disappoint retailers. Listing gain is Marginal but room for growth will be there. I will subscribe and add more if it lists at a discount.
Hearing all the negative responses but i have a strong gut feeling that it will list premium and positive of atleast 5% and wont be list at discount I am looking forward for applying 6 lots in retails application Hope it works as per my prediction
Out of topic. Anyone has noticed that today Ruchi Soya/ Patanjali Foods IPO price become double in 5 months time. I am still Holding 84 shares allotted in IPO. Jay Ho Baba Ramdev
155.1. PSR| Link| Bookmark|
September 5, 2022 4:15:04 PM
IPO Guru (1300+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Market talk is that it will touch Rs. 1700 very shortly.
Out of topic. Anyone has noticed that today Ruchi Soya /Patanjali Foods IPO price became double in 5 Months Time. I am still holding 84 Shares allotted in IPO. Jai ho " Baba Ramdev "
Yes, those people sold in grey and are applying FF. I have no access to grey Market so would not place my hand on it. Further with the expected subscription, no benefit of placing bids at 510 (anchor price). Cut off expected at upper price. One can earn more with current secondary market volatility with relatively less risk. It would be in my watch list and I may enter at appropriate time, till then let market decide it's value and fate.