1.During demonetisation on 9 November 2016 , Several IT raids were conducted on company's 3 manufacturing , 2 Showrooms and promoters residence . Outcome 1) The company was found guilty for helping people converting Cash into gold. 2) Fake Income tax invoices to evade taxes And unauthorized sales. 3) Jewellery amounting to 164.27 cr , some estate documents and papers were caught . After some time the Jewellery was returned but the documents were officially seized and never returned back
2.On the date of deciding of the price band the PE of Kalyan jewellers was 31.18 And on the upper band the valuations of senco is 15.5 , Exact half of Kalyan jewellers I don't think this math was suggested by the lead managers .
3.The ' Other liabilities' rose to 158.21 cr from Positive balance of Rs.12 lakhs . I saw NTA but couldn't find the reason , The disclosures are not mentioned properly.
4.Saif Partners who joined the company way back in 2014 , were issued shares @180 at FV 10 , If we calculate they are making 56.5% return with a spam of 9 years . IF we calculate the return it comes around 6.3% p.a Which is too too less . Even a bank gives more . Why the hell they are selling their stake at such low valuations. There maybe some internal reasons which we are not aware of
Continue the remaining part which could not get posted
Mind well SAIF is a very big firm who has its origin from China and if we ses the past transactions of the firm , they don't exit without getting multibagger returns .
5. If margins are concerned in respect to owned Showrooms and franchises Gross margins Owned - 18% Franchise - 11.5%
Net margins Owned - 8.5% Franchise - 1.2%
I mean that the franchise owners are not making money, this can be a risk factor in the future
6. The net margins of gold business are 2.8% and the Jewellery business are around 18% So the diamond business is minting money for the company.
Hope everyone is satisfied with the ACTUAL Risk factors
Appreciated. and I like the fact you gave your verdict in first line itself, those like me who would apply 1-2 retail may not even read entire post. (I read)
@newgen consultancy Just for my knowledge, As you mentioned SAIF is a big one generally expecting multibagger return and they are offloading(not sure). If they are offloading , how much is that ?
Thanks for the information btw. 🙏
272.9. jajo| Link| Bookmark|
July 7, 2023 12:44:50 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@newgen consultancy Appreciate your efforts. You have raised some relevant points. Usually few people are taking the trouble to go through the RHP. So it is helpful
@newgen consultancy Thanks for your so much deep study and moreover for writing so much long post for the knowledge and benefit of Chittorgarh platform readers 'Umang Bhai'.
Please check average cost of acquisition is 60.17 per share and offer price is 317 5x return in 8 years. It's partial exit of its total investment in Senco. Please chk it's Qib subscription data
@One Advisory Sir review your post once again you have missed something
If their cost of acquisition is Rs.181 per share then whatever the dilution is , the cost per share remains the same. They have sold their 33% holding doesn't mean their purchase gets divided by 3
But still happy, you tried researching my points rather not following blindly
Keep it up
And thanks to everyone to encourage me and lot more good stuff to come from my part
People applying in retail and HNI..with bid value under 5 lacs should consider UPI application as It gets unblocked automatically through exchange after allotment is finalised.
Brother is it a new arrangement introduced today? If not, I dont feel its the way working as of now. Because our UPI bids also unblocked today in private banks.
@Monster Zero Today someone also asked in this forum about how can we reduce time horizon while using UPI mandate.. is there any option for this or its by default?? Any clue??
269.7. jajo| Link| Bookmark|
July 7, 2023 12:26:13 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Yes, in UPI application the banks role is limited to automatically block as per UPI mandate created, and unblock after the basis of allotment finalised by exchange.
March 2018 , an ipo is scheduled to come in the market.Initially it was thought that a great company will bring forth a great sensation. But what a surprise! People spoke big but the ipo was only 99% filled (nii 3% retail 39%), means full allotment. Once upon a time BHEL enjoyed the indisputable leadership in this segment among the listed companies such that in 2008 great fall this one stood convincingly. Now the image of BHEL having been dented, people had suspicion about this company also in the back of their mind. Ipo price was 1215 to 1240 , but consequently final price was settled at 1215.0n the listing day it opened at 1152 and closed at 1128. There after price went on falling , people began to criticise what a HELL ! Within a year it's price was shy of half the ipo price. Within another one year it broke 500 mark and extended upto 480.(I.e 40% of the ipo price) From there within next two years ,it crossed the IPO price and in May - June 2022 when a group in this board was taking oath for not investing in Govt company shares it's price was at about 1350 which means that it has trebled in the preceeding two years. Some days ago ,the share has touched 3950 which means that it has further trebled in the last one year from the oath taking ceremony. p/e of the share is 21 and PB is 5 .3 It has paid Rs 173 dividend in the last five years.
Yes, I am speaking of HAL. I reposed confidence in it and think time is ahead for profit booking by and by.
Task at this point of time is to try to find out whether any Govt sector company which is not matching as yet but has potential for going in this direction of performance in the coming days.
Learned members are requested to share with us if found any.
265.2. Basuvr| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 8:08:15 PM
IPO Guru (2000+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
Kotak services iss good and unblock is also timely. You can also use your FD amount to apply IPO.
In over subsriction IPO, allotment purely depends on your luck and not the Bank applied from.
265.3. IpoRetailer| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 8:40:27 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
HDFC is good too. Never faced an issue with that for my 2 accounts.
265.4. jajo| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 11:20:34 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@IpoRetailer@imethanhunt The problem in HDFC Bank ASBA is that you will have to fill up your DoB, Demat account details along with Brokers name each and every time you apply in an IPO. In Axis Bank ASBA it is much easier, you just need to do your ASBA registration once, and these details will be saved and remain in the account. No issues with timely Unblock but allotment is purely based on your luck in lottery
265.5. Bullrunner| Link| Bookmark|
July 7, 2023 10:48:31 AM
Top Contributor (500+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Please read.. probability of allocation = 72.05 * 2 % 10 = 14.41? as 1 : 14.41 and hence 1 applicant will be getting allocation out of approximately 14
Broadly right, but there could be some technical rejections, and some investors still aren't aware that any application above 10.xxL is futile in case the issue is oversubscribed. Or sometimes it is done deliberately! So for practical purposes, actual probability would be few shades better.
E.g. Ikio Lighting was subscribed about 69x in bHNI, which meant 1 in (69/5 =) 13.8 should have got allotment worth 2L, but actually approx 1 in 11 got allotment.
Since subscription is 72 times in bHNI category, means all application are more than 10 lakhs and hence ratio should be based on 10 lakh application not 2 lakh. Hence ratio should be 1:72. Experts please correct, if I am wrong...
@karun your calculation Is correct..... Some technical resignation would be there and some people may be applying more than 10 lakhs but those r just some exceptions..... In the end you have reached a near about correct number.... And each allotment would be of around 2 lacs....
261.6. IpoZINDAHAI| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 9:42:21 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Just do divided by 5 and you will always get the figure to be considered for BHNI allocation.
259. ℙ𝕣𝕠𝕗𝕖𝕤𝕤𝕠𝕣| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 4:40:35 PM
Top Contributor (600+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
I have blocked the amount through upi and mandate is created successfully but my broker app is not showing that UPI mandate is accepted and still saying to accept the mandate happening with 2 account with same broker what should I do my application is successful or not ? Expert please help me in this issue
Prostock was not working Today. IPO orders get failed. Customer care has asked to apply through Bank ASBA and they have no clues on when this issue will get resolved.
Whoever applied in Prostock, forget this about this IPO, your application itself not accepted
258.1. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 3:26:26 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
i am applying here....gmp should increase again after issue is closed.... Even current gmp is also good enough, i dont think gmp will go down much... Company looks good to me so i am applying here and it will have good subscriptions in all category....
ICICI is good in Timely unblocking... My HDFC ideaforge fund unblocked today morning
256.7. Krishna T| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 5:58:33 PM
IPO Guru (1600+ Posts, 900+ Likes)
ICICI was unblocked yesterday night itself and was quite fast this time. However sometime it does around at 2:30 PM but that remained worst case since couple of months.
256.8. MVP| Link| Bookmark|
July 6, 2023 6:02:58 PM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
Good thing about ICICI is customer service. There were few occasions it was late in unblocking, but I know few emails of ICICI officials, as soon as you sent e-mail they respond quickly and unblocks the money.
Guys first of all..No bank has fix schedule/time to unblock all bids. They do it with some scheduler in specific times based on certain criteria. For example SBI unblocked bid by bid in different times. Similarly ICICI unblocked some yesterday, but for me it did today.
Kuch hi GOV-er bank hote hai, aur mass service registrar hote hai SuperSpeed me kaam karte hai baaki sab bekaar hai. Mass ne toh udayshivkumar me toh 🌏World Record banaya hai.