I am relatively new comer here. I want to apply in retail and aiming allotment of 3 lots. Considering present subscription nay be app 1 X. If I apply for 3 lots will I get 3 lot allotment? Please suggest how many lots i will apply in retail for 3 lots allotment Thanks
200. Ou Ai| Link| Bookmark|
March 28, 2022 8:39:38 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Several queries are raised here about the listing price of freshly issued shares versus current market price of existing shares. Upon listing allotted shares in FPO, ISISN number will be merged with the existing ISIN. FPO shares with new serial numbers will be added with current float making them parri pasu. Thus, on listing day, normal action of waiting for the new share listing with high and low will be missing. There will not any waiting time as in new listing and shares begin trading normally right at 9.15 as soon as market opens. This will include both old and new shares. This is akin to a rights issue wherein newly allotted shares begin to trade immediately on listing with old shares with no differentiation. To that extent, share price of existing price adjusted to increased float or volume will prevail. Trust this helps.
193. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 11:21:04 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
I will be applying in retail 2-3 applications tomorrow for sure in this regardless of subscriptions. i think it can do good in medium to long term. Even in short term, it can give 10-20% gains. Regarding HNI application, i may apply for minimum 15 lot HNI application by seeing subscription in QIB/HNI by 2.45pm, even if its around minimum 3-4x or more, else will not apply in HNI if QIB/HNI subscription is very poor.
hey ipo stonks are you still taking funding?? what is the logic behind taking funding as gmp is again decling.... or you already sold in grey earlier..... Thanks
191.6. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
March 26, 2022 7:58:26 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Yep. I am still availing funding. GMP is not the only criteria. GMP is misleading many times. Also, I never deal in grey, involves lots of cash and needs trustworthy people to deal. Since funding cost will be minimal and i will have huge quantity, i am going to get good returns. Risk to reward ratio is favourable as per my views.
191.7. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
March 26, 2022 11:05:19 PM
IPO Guru (1900+ Posts, 1600+ Likes)
@ipo sponks Who will buy higher than 650 plus on listing day. The person who wants to buy that day can buy it in the IPO. HNI subscription unlikely to cross 10 times which is equal to 6450 crore (big money in current times with limited funding) Very interested to understand your logic
191.8. Kishore S| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 12:59:03 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Really, is there funding for this. I doubt it due to bank strike
191.9. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 11:09:13 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@Kishore S Yes there is funding for this. Bank strike is irrelevant, net banking can be done. Let me explain it to you: when an investor avails funding, majority of the times and majority of the investors have to give margin and interest money before the last day of the IPO. And in case of good IPO’s where demand was extreme (ex- Nykaa, Clean science) they took margin and interest money even before the first day of IPO. For the current IPO I have already given them 80% of the amount and remaining I’ll transfer tomorrow.
@arunARUN I think this FPO as an IPO, since the float is 1% only. So many retailers and mutual funds will be interested like me to buy shares of Ruchi Soya. There will be demand for it. And if it lists at 650 only, still my loss will not be huge. In stock market we always invest money in a stock on its future trajectory. We always value the stock on its future earnings. The past has a limited relevance only. Don’t know why forum members are cribbing about its past. Even if I loose money it will be worth taking the risk. The company is going to repay its debt. It spends Rs. 350+cr on interest. FMCG company will grow in the future. The profit y-o-y will rise.
Brother, even I've applied for HNI. But No GMP is getting me all worried. with only a 10% margin, only a 10% lower listing can get all our money wiped out....!! is it likely to happen?
191.11. Kishore S| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 1:16:10 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@ipo stonks Thanks for the clarification. I heard the funding company submits physical application form on our behalf on the last working day. If there is bank strike, it becomes difficult to submit the physical application form.
191.12. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 6:29:23 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@Ujjwal Buddy this is not how HNI funding works. If you give margin 10% and on listing day it lists at 10% lower circuit, you will still have 90% of your investment. I have applied funding for 10cr, expectations is I’ll receive 1cr worth shares. So if shares are locked at 10% lower circuit. It will be on shares alloted.
@Kishore It’s NBFC’s responsibility to submit my application. They submit it in physical form or online it’s their lookout.
I also take HNI funding from bajaj but I avoided this one as I don't have experience with FPO and can't take much of a risk right now. What numbers are you expecting? In terms of profit and loss.
191.14. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
March 30, 2022 11:13:50 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@Mr.Giu Earlier before this episode which is going on expectations was it won’t list below 600 and on a brighter and very optimistic side I expected it to list at 700+. But now I cannot comment anything can happen, though intuition says it will list at 700+ only.
191.15. ipo stonks| Link| Bookmark|
April 8, 2022 12:41:41 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Guys the risk was worth it. @Mr.Giu you should’ve taken the risk and applied in funding.
Good Morning to everyone Dear all gurus and mentors, I just want to know if there is no fully subscriptions in retail quota then can I opt for 615 per share? Can I get allotment with 615 rs per share rate then??
189.2. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 11:20:14 AM
IPO Guru (1900+ Posts, 1600+ Likes)
It is an interesting question. Company has right to reduce issue size to extent of 10%. Yes if 90% is not filled at 650 price band then company would go down rupee by rupee till it gets 90% However unlikely scene
Issues opening From 1st April will be governed by new IPO rules. Thus, we will see a drastic fall in Funded HNI subscription as now the NII allotment will happen in same manner as in case of Retail, i.e, Draw Of Lots system. This will also impact the GMP of upcoming IPO'S. Means greater chances of allotment but smaller premium .. Plz throw light on what you guys think on this...
@Harsh, As pet my understanding, there will be no lottery system for HNIs. HNI shares will be split ,33% upto10 Lakhs applications and 67% for more than 10 Lakhs. Anyhow, as per current rule, if number of lots applied is < subscription, then it will be automatically lottery.
Subscription will be less as HNI funding is limited to 1 Cr, however they can go with multiple applications.
@suneel plz read the SEBI Circular carefully , it says NII allotment will be on basis of Draw of Lots as is the case with Retail currently. Thus lottery system unlike proportionate allotment earlier for NII.
@Harsh, Might be I'm not aware, how does lottery system works for the person who applied with 100 lots vs 1000 lots. In retail, everyone will get 1 lot in lottery if subscription is more than 1X. What is the rule with HNi? Is there any minimum lots HNi will get?
188.4. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
March 28, 2022 12:27:01 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@suneel: you can go through below link for more understanding regarding new HNI allotment rules applicable for ipos opening on/after 1st april.
So in effect, all the allotments (Retail, small HNI, large HNI) will be through a lottery in an oversubscribed issue. Thus, as we do currently in retail applications in an oversubscribed issue, that is apply for only 1 lot, will it make sense to apply for bare minimum lots worth 2 Lakh in 2-10L category and for lots worth 10 Lakh if we go for >10L category? If I am correct, only after distributing min shares to all applicants as per their category (1 lot to retail, 14 lots to small HNI and 67 lots to large HNI), if any shares are left, then only proportionate allotment will be made. So, no use having in reserve, money worth more than 10 L for IPO application. Or may be wrth more than 2 L for many of us. It will certainly take some courage and confidence to have any IPO share worth more than 10 L in one go.
@ObserverEye Exactly what I wanted to say ... Large HNI will be very carefull in applying. Good for Capital Market, it should be healthy. Gone are the days of 300-500x OS
Thanks @Harsh and @Lokes. This is significant changes in terms of getting number of lots for HNI application(2 to 10Lakh) and >10 Lakhs. Interesting days ahead...let's see.
@Harsh Stock Expert, Yes. The OS figures will certainly nosedive to a big extant. But at the same I time, I believe, retail application will be a lot more crowded. Moreover really big fishes will benefit as >10 L category with 2/3rd of NII quota will see dwindling no of applicants. Total applicants in HNI currently varies between 5k-25k. Most will avoid >10L category. It will be interesting to see how many applicants go for 2-10 L category. That will be a new thing.
188.11. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
March 28, 2022 2:50:49 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@Kishore: As i said , rule will be applicable for IPOs opening on/after 1st April, not before that.
The CEO of Ruchi Soya is very experienced person having Experiance of more than 30 Years in various well known FMCG Companies. Will make company so great in comming years. Below is the link: https://www.gainhealth.org/sanjeev-asthana
186. Ou Ai| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 4:17:18 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Ruchi Soya FPO is for about 7 cr shares. Current equity capital will go up to about 70 Cr plus wiht debt free status and post issue public holdings of 19% approximate of which retail & NII may hold about 8%.
Ruchi Gold and Nutrela are an age old brand over 2 years. It was unfortunate that previous promoters misappropriation rendering a profit earning firm into loss ending in NCLT and came in new format after CIRP. FMCG business is good similar to Adani Wilmar, Marico ,HLL . Issue will be well subscribed and value and investors will apply in it. Current market price may dip due to increased liquidity, ideally which it should be. With over 1000 Cr PAT and debt free new status post FPO valuation can get lifted to again 700 plus . Those willing to be patient even if it is near to issue price should go for it.
183.3. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
March 25, 2022 10:08:32 PM
IPO Guru (1900+ Posts, 1600+ Likes)
@bAAz And keep on paying auction charges. Delivery cycle is T plus 2. In auction you will end up paying through your nose. Existing 1 percent is already cornered
183.4. techuser| Link| Bookmark|
March 26, 2022 10:42:51 AM
IPO Mentor (500+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
@arunARUN ji, I am also about to do the same stratergy, apply in IPO 4 lots, and do short-selling everyday of 84 shares. As I will do this first time, would you please enlighten about your comment, about auction charges? I'm planning to short-sell every morning around 10AM and square off the trade around 3:15PM.
I'm under the impression that: If stock price goes down => I'm in profit because I've shorted. If stock price goes up => I'll book loss. I assume that, I've already got 84 shares @650, so overall I'm in profit even if stock price goes up, as underlying share price is increasing. So my loss is only brokerage in this case.
Please enlighten us on this. Thanks a lot in advance.
183.5. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
March 26, 2022 3:40:51 PM
IPO Guru (1900+ Posts, 1600+ Likes)
@techuser Your strategy is a day trading only. Supposed on 10 shares you incur daily a loss of 20 Rs only. Which for balance 6 working day will come to 120 per share. Which means your cost on day of listing is already 770 (650+120). Who gives the guarantee that listing price will be 770 or above for you to make profit? You are better off to buy in IPO and take a pot luck on day of listing at least you don't have carried forward losses till that day
@arun brother correct me if i am wrong, on short selling & price going down Rs 20 each day(Profit), your cost will be calculated as 650-120=530 On the other hand if prices moves up after short selling incurring Rs.20 loss daily your allotted shares will be sell at 970-120=850
183.8. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 9:20:44 AM
IPO Guru (2500+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
pl conside 20% margin when you short shares ie if you sell 21 shares you can only buy approx 17 shares on the same day ie approx 4 shares less also you can buy 4 shares next day cash margin is required to buy 4 shares ie 4 * rs (cost of share ie rs 650 or 750 or rs 600 depending on the value ) ie rs 3000 approx
183.9. bAAz| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 9:49:00 AM
IPO Mentor (700+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
@arun I am telling who have already holding they may short and buy in fpo for 200 rupees per share benifit who holding.
183.10. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
March 27, 2022 11:23:21 AM
IPO Guru (1900+ Posts, 1600+ Likes)
@baaz They have just 1 percent holding against 16 percent of the issue. So why any one who can get easy allotment or buy in grey at 10 20 rupees will buy at price higher than 670 (650 plus grey price) Price movement and operational history of the company well known. Only other impact this FPO will do is debt reduction and consequent eps jump (but that is not how equity business works)