Hi Ashis Battachargee
Dear all only small/retail investor
A unique opportunity is just a few days ahead but to grab it we have to apply our sense. As per our past experience in stock market, we had been seeing that if bonus is 1:1 than price is reduced to 50%, if bonus is 1:2 than price is reduced to 33%. So on the same pattern, in rel power 3:5 bonus, price should be reduced to 5/8x100=62.5%, but it is not so in case of Rel Power. Dear all in all historical bonus except in Rel power, this bonus ratio is applied to Total Shares of company Including Promoter. Anyone can check in bonus history that if bonus is 1:1, than on ex date total shares of company become double so price adjusted to 50%.
Take a example that if a company have 100 crore share, price of each is 1000, so total market capital of company is 100x1000=1,00,000 (1 lack ) crore. Suppose bonus is issued 1:1 ratio than on ex date in the market total shares are 200 crore, if we apply our sense than it is definitely not possible that with same price 200x1000= 2,00,000 (2 lack crore) just over one night, So on ex date price will be 500 and market capital is same 200x500=1,00,000 (1 lack) crore. Only difference is that before bonus company has liability of 100 crore share of face value 10 each, so total face value(called as Paid up capital) is 100x10=1000 crore. If company announce bonus of 1:1, than face value (paid up capital) 200x10=2000 crore. Dividend is given on face value, if company announce dividend of 20% before bonus, than company liability is 1000x20/100=200 crore dividend, And if company announce same dividens after bonus company has liability of 2000x20/100=400 crore.
So practically after bonus total market capital of company remain same but total face value is increased proportionally and we get more dividend if announced after bonus.
Now come to Rel power. Here total share are 226 crore before bonus(any one can check at NSE site). So paid up capital is 226x10(face value)=2260 crore . Bonus is 3:5 for non-promoter only(which are having only 22.8 crore share out of 226 crore), so after bonus total share are not 226x8/5=361.6 crore but 203.2 crore(promoter) + 22.8(non promoter) + 22.8x3/5(=13.68)(bonus) = 239.7 crore total. Plz go through 25.02.08 Rel Power NSE announcement on second page 17th line, that paid up equity shares are increase to 239.7 crore.
So, before bonus and after bonus company capital should be same(if no big fall in market on ex date). Currently Rel power is quoting around 400, so total market capital is 226 crore x 400=90,400 crore. After bonus total share are 239.7 crore, so keeping the same market capital reduced price is 90,400/239.7=377 which in other way 400x226/239.7=377 . Here scene is that Only 10% non promoter are given bonus and out of 10% non promotor, if we leave FII, DII etc general public( retail investor, HNI )are 4.28%. And this 4.28% common public is unable to digest this opportunity that how 400x5=2000 can be 377x8=3016 just in few days. Did anyone see that FII, DII(MF) are crying on this issue, they are waiting for the opportunity when this common public will release their bonus share (which they are unable to digest) on ex date at lower price and they will grab it. Dear investor compare the price on the basis of total market capital before and after bonus. Some big fish will try to low the price on and after ex date to compel small investor to release their stake. Many are creating panic in market that ex bonus price will be around 300 or even less Than think in way that 239.7 crore x 300=71,910 crore market capital. Did anil announce bonus that company which was of 90,000 crore would become of 70,000 crore. Believe on him he will take care for that but u all have to keep patience for some time. Controlling price is also in public hand, if we all don’t sell on ex date how price will come down, than only FII and DII will left and they are enough sensing the situation.
If u all can wait for three-six month than price will come around 500 as project progress happen than imagine 400x5=2000 will be 500x8=4000, 100% return in around 4 month. So don’t think of selling but digest the opportunity with sense(total market capital of company before and after bonus). Best of luck.