190. ipobull| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 1:08:32 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 1000+ Likes)
Interesting to see both Latent and Tarson moving together @ 641. Both I feel have made their bottoms a couple of days back. Should move up in one direction only. People with my suggested dark horse Yes Bank must be happy today as it crossed 14 finally.
190.2. ipobull| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 9:51:36 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 1000+ Likes)
@ Dheeraj, Just hold it till next quarterly results are declared. You have seen inspite of savage correction in broader markets couple of days back, Yes Bank held on and now it has closed @ 14. So, you will not loose much, but any day going forward it can hit 20% UC. Believe me.
IPO Open : December 14, 2021 IPO Close : December 16, 2021 Basis of Allotment : December 21, 2021 Initiation of Refunds: December 22, 2021 Credit of Shares : December 23, 2021 IPO Listing Date : December 24, 2021
Hi mem Good day... Please advise in all this running IPO which is good for retailers ... please list out top to bottom... Your views is important for us.
For my choice 1) Mapmyindia 2 ) data patents 3 ) Medplus health 4 ) shriram properties (decide tomorrow after 3 pm) 5 ) H p adhesives (extra fund available)
I suggest to keep single HNI Thread for all upcoming 5-6 IPOs, as our action is inter-related and also following all individual threads will be complex.
I also suggest experts to start giving valuable inputs a bit earlier and not wait for the last day, as this time exercise is a bit complicated...
184.5. Amit Chheda| Link| Bookmark|
December 7, 2021 12:15:58 PM
IPO Mentor (800+ Posts, 900+ Likes)
The way Rategain''s fundamentals are arranged, it reminds me of Cartrade due to some similarities - 1) Expensive valuation 2) PAT negative due to esop expenses and impairment 3) My Mind and Heart are not in sync The company seems to have a bright future post pandemic but with the 3rd wave expected to hit most of the countries especially USA, where the company derives more than 60% of its revenue, and with the possibility of return of restrictions and lockdowns, will the valuation be able to sustain post listing? Seems like a bet for risk taking investors. Tega refund will mostly not be available for Rategain so i''ll consider applying in retail category after further analysis.
@Avenue - That''s a good idea to be able to track all the 6 IPOs. We can bookmark the direct link to the thread as well. I will apply with all my retail accounts(14) in Rategain, MapMyIndia & Medplus. Based on the HNI figures will go funded HNI in Medplus & avoiding MapMyIndia as it may turn to be another Tega. :-)
@Avenue.. mappyindia is a must apply ipo .. n looks like funded hnis targeting only mappy india.. and will skip the rest... So it means hni again cross 450x.. for every self funded hni having a capacity of less than 400 will b in lottery again.. For me that Rategain atleast looks quite better than shri ram and metro.. and adding to that fund of this can also b utilise in Medplus.. HPA yet to disclose its price band so don''t hve any clear stand for it.. N yes will open one more thread in mappyindia.. for sure..
184.14. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 7, 2021 5:57:59 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@noorul@avenue@Mog: atleast in mapmyindia, it shouldn''t cross 450X due to its big size, latent/tega were having smaller size. mapmyindia can go like gocolors around 300-350X max. Regarding funds utilization and which one to apply, i posted my preference (as of now), in other post, which i am re posting here too :)
Tega funds can be used mainly in mapmyindia for good returns. Some funds can be put in rategain/shriram properties also as per last day subscriptions since both are little risky to play in HNI since they both have losses and even issue size of rategain is big. Medplus is good ipo but HP adhesive doesn''''t look so good. Rategain funds can be used in medplus but shriram properties funds can''''t be used in medplus so better to apply in rategain instead of shriram properties to re-use funds in medplus, if QIB/HNI crosses 4-5 times atleast in rategain. Mapmyindia and shriram properties funds can be used in HP adhesive if that has good gmp/subscriptions/price-valuations.
Data patterns from 14-16 December. Decision making for Hnis is becoming tough day by day as more and more IPOs join in. One of the toughest and the most confusing decisions HNIs are going to face.
My favorites from the current 7 IPO''s based on info available thus far:
Mapmyindia (expensive but I like the business) & Medplus (old school brick & mortar business but has value in it) - But given the dates, no UHNI can go FF in both so will have to take a call depending on how things progress. If Mappy goes overboard with HNI then I may prefer Medplus since Mappy seems to be favorite of FHNI. Also, for the 5 IPOs of RTT, Shriram Properties, Mappy, Metro & Medplus, the overall limit of 1 lakh crore HNI funding quantum will be something I would watch out for!
Metro Brands - I really really like the business but its obscenely priced in the IPO & I don''t think there is much upside left in the IPO Shriram Properties - Average business with average anchor book and much better RE plays available in the secondary market RTT - Super expensive valuation for a very very average business with no sustainable moat and way too much competition. Also the thin & volatile GMP and enthusiastic posts by New Members about the IPO isn''t inspiring confidence
Data Patterns & HP Adhesives - No pricing info available to me as yet so undecided
@neolongus perfect analysis! I also feel the same. For HNIs, I guess it will come down to Mapmyindia vs medplus vs data patterns.
Defence sector IPOs have been historically priced reasonably which generates a lot of buzz and bumper listing.... Expecting the same with data patterns.
184.19. SamJos| Link| Bookmark|
December 7, 2021 11:30:38 PM
Top Contributor (500+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
For me, in addition to retails, - tega funds will be use for Mapmyindia, without considering gmp or sub figures, & then to HPA, depending whether it arrives in afternoon & how gmp & subs figures are attractive. - fund unutilized in ARWL will go for RTT, & later to Medplus, depending whether it arrives in afternoon & how gmp & subs figures are attractive. Most hospital attached pharmacies give 5-10% discount & facility to take back unused drugs or competition from generic drugs pose great competition to online pharmacies. - Metro & Shriram not interested as burnt fingers with Khadim & Indiabulls, unless last minute gimmick happens & might apply for listing gains.
@noorul - I appreciate your straight forward decision making ability and guts to post it here. However I suggest you take a call on last day at 1:00 pm. Market is still very choppy and Rategain seems to lack momentum. This is a time to be very alert.
@lokes what confuses me is that how can so many companies come up with their offering at the same time....I remember reading an article where SEBI had taken a few steps to prevent multiple IPOs from clashing. Looks like it didn''t work out.
It is true @dptl. I''m using it and only last month is the month where I get less than 5% ROC. Otherwise after deducting expenses net yield is above 4% per month.
While having so many IPO options, and going FF in MapmyIndia does not seem like a correct choice. One has to consider distributing funds between RTT, Shriram and Mappy, of course depending upon the response of QIB and HNI on the last day. Don''t know if it will sustain but RTT, Shriram have 22,15% GMPs and too large allotment chances as compared to MapmyIndia.
Also, can not ignore the fact that if given dates are correct- RTT funds can be reused in MedPlus IPO. Shriram funds can be reused in Data Patterns IPO. MapmyIndia funds can be reused in HPA IPO.
@ mog.. thanks for taking the insiative in mapny india page.. @ amit cheedha ,nitheen. Thanks for ur suggestion .. these days in which ipo to apply is not remain a question anymore.. but which one to ignore is what giving a mind excercise.. Of course i didn''t applied yet as money is still being blocked in tega .. and i might pull back in this script . The only trigger i m looking for.. if retail cross the 10x than i would surely apply.. Hni subs doesn''t hve so much importance here because of many high gmp ipos r in line up.. And yes these new members agenda also giving smell ... Something fishy..
@MOG @ Gopal.. I have made the same request but as a fresh message, in order to keep this thread for current IPO and ensuring no mix-up. His response is awaited there.
Itna glut ipos ka kabhi nahin dekha... Need to think 10 times about where and how to apply. Btw, did u get allotment in Tega? Couldn''t see your post in that forum as there were too many allotment msgs.
184.43. Krishnaji| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 1:19:06 PM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
skipping this and reserving all 190 lots money from Tega for hot cakes on offering in the next week :) Might apply only for 2 accs in retail thru upi that also based on final figure by eod.
The main reason I still haven''t scraped RTT is because it''s funds will be available for MedPlus and Data Patterns. First time I have seen so much variance in opinion of experts views, as everybody looks like having a different theory about RTT.
How much chances are there for RTT to list at discount??? and considering size of QIB portion, what minimum QIB subscription will qualify this as an average IPO?
@m.k . Nope.. as i said i would like too see retail atleast 10x. And that was my trigger to apply.. but dats not likely to expect now.. so better i m looking forward 4 other ipos..
"New Member" infesting the HNI thread too...very interesting...hope they''re not one trick (RTT) ponies and will stay with us in the future HNI discussion threads too!
184.49. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 2:02:03 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@M.K @Mog @avenue@noorul : for me, as i mentioned in other thread, i am definitely applying in this ipo in retail application. Regarding HNI, i may apply for 50-100 lots taking some risk around 2.45pm. Will inform here if applying and for how many lots. Money can be used in medplus also. Shriram anyways i wont be applying for sure in HNI and mapmyindia money can be used in HP adhesive, so this one is second last ipo where money can be reused in other good ipo medplus.
@Noorul, @lokes, @MK, @Avenue, others, I changed my mind gone, FF here (2000 lots applied, will use this refund for Medplus as @lokes indicated). Took risk, remaining will be split between others.
Finally applied with 19, 21 and 23 lots 3 HNI applications and 1 Retail...
I had two small accounts with funds for 30 and 40 lots and though RTT to be an ideal case scenario to test our 50% + add lot theory.
Funnier part is I will not be disappointed if I do not get any lot.
184.60. DuckkyDuck| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 3:04:57 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Applied 45 lots(which is my FF currently.) Took risk like Sapphire food. Sapphire''s risk paid off well. Both are different companies, but have same threat ie. Covid variant. Took calculated risk, may get 10% down or 15% up based on market conditions. Will keep if opens down. FF got reduced from 90+ lots to 45, because lots of money placed in SHK, Moil, MPS and Nucleus Buybacks. Buyback market is currently hot same as IPO market.
@Noorul.. I changed my mind at the last moment, and applied for smaller lots. By this I will have more funds in my primary account for other and upcoming IPOs..
184.62. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 3:07:29 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@MRavi sir: wish you all the best for positive listing in this one :)
@all: I have applied only for 50 lots in HNI and all retail applications, since don''t want more allotment here in HNI and also need money for other ipos too.
Even with all the FOMO, its difficult for me to give in. USA from where the company derives more than 60% revenue has registered 38% increase in covid cases and 35% increase in covid deaths week over week. I''ve totally shifted my focus to fundamentals as it is the only long term wealth creator. I don''t want to block funds for a possibility of meagre gain of 10-15%.
In the end, i decided to go with only retail applications in RTT. Not an expert but even though I feel valuation is expensive, the subscription figures n GMP doesn''t point to a discount listing. If I get allotted, plan to sell it on listing day, whatever I get off it. No long term bet on it at this price . Got one in Tega HNI, plan to sell that too. Next FF HNI Mapmyindia ..... May skip Sriram... Will skip Metro.
1) HNI: Not much fancy in this IPO and hence applied for just 69 lots only with an aim to get 1 lot or slightly above on proportionate basis. 2) Retail: Just two applications with 1 lot each.
What is the time deadline in au small finance bank for applying in ipo? it is generally written 4pm in ipo section but today i was looking for rategain ipo but it was not listed in ipo section in au netbanking.
@ Avenue: It seems you have applied for 3 odd lots, following the odd lot theory, on the estimation of total HNI subscription of around 40-44 times, with an aim to get allotment of 3 lots. Please don’t forget to convey the result once allotment is released. Wish you best of luck.
Got tied up with work and got free at 2.57 .... didn''t have time to think abt what to do ... was in 2 minds anyways ... Retail cutoff time was 4 PM .... lets see now ... FF for Mappy in HNI
@lokes, Thanks. took risk, would sell during listing week. expecting around 5-10% listing premium, lets see.
@Vivekk, Hahaha (Bahubali of HNI) 😜😂 Hope you will get more than one lot, all the best for good listing.
Thanks
184.74. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 6:53:05 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@devbull and all: with 23, 27 and 29 lots , there is nothing like odd lot theory, its obvious with these small lots there will be other applicants also for each of these numbers and all these lots will go into lottery only as per no. of applicants. Issue subscription in HNI is smaller here but still no chance for being single applicant with such smaller lots, anyways we can see in BOA also once release.
Because of different views till 1.30 pm today (SBI ASBA is till 2 pm only), I didn''t dare to apply in NII and applied in retail as there are many other IPOs in line. So planning to keep the funds for remaining IPOs
183. sbipo| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 2:33:22 PM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@lokes, Have u applied in retail or hni? I haven''t seen ur. message in other thread,that''s why asking, Thanks
183.1. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 2:43:22 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@sbipo: I have already applied in retail already. Will apply in HNI also in sometime. I posted in same page here my opinion as below.
161. lokesI Like It. 3|Report Abuse| Link |Dec 9, 2021 1:47:55 PM IPO Guru IPO Guru (1700+ Posts, 1100+ Likes) i am applying here in all retail applications here. Anyone who still feels its risky can apply via upi in retail. I may go for some lots in HNI application too around 2.45pm if QIB crosses even 4-5X only. its Funds can be used in medplus (good ipo) too as i informed earlier. Chances of 5-15% gains are more than chances of 3-4% loss.
@Lokes, Since there was mixed feedback and subscription numbers, went with 100 Lots in HNI. Let''s hope 10% profit as you said earlier or worst case of 5% loss.
183.3. sbipo| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 3:04:38 PM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Thanks
183.4. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 3:28:47 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@suneel: all the best :) yes it can give some decent gains (less chance of loss) and 1 lot you may keep for medium/long term and remaining you can sell on listing day. Markets also should be supportive during listing, hopefully they wont go in bear mode again.
Thanks @Lokes. Have funds for another 230 lots, but kept them for MaymyIndia. I will apply 230 lots in Maymyindia if subscription is <230x. Else will try luck in Medplus or Data patters. Don''t want to go in lottery, haven''t received Tega even after applying 323 lots. My luck is too good.... :(
183.6. lokes| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 7:04:40 PM
IPO Guru (4400+ Posts, 5100+ Likes)
@suneel: lets decide on mapmyindia/medplus etc during mapmyindia last day, then it will be easy to guess approx subscription and to decide to apply or not. After seeing tega subscription around 2.30, i changed my mind to not to apply in that since it was looking to cross 600X so below 350 lots it was not good deal to apply. i hope your bank allows time till 3pm for hni application. In tega ya bad luck for you, you might have stuck as single applicant.
@Lokes, I apply HNI lots from HDFC Securities and HDFC allows till 3PM. However, on last day of Tega, I tried to change my bid from 323 to 325 lots and HDFC didn''t allowed to change bid. I''m not sure why and probably there could be better chances for 325 lots
Anyhow, as u said, let''s see how subscriptions turns our to be for MaymyIndia/Medplus/Data Patterns. Only thing is I will avoid lottery and go for guaranteed allotment only. This is what I did with Tarsons/LVA and was able to make some 6K profit on Tarsons listing day.
Keeping in view the subscription figures, It appears almost every third applicant may get allotment, In such a case GMP can fluctuate heavily.Also expected listing price needs to be keenly observed.
Its not only QIB/HNI who are not showing interest for this Loss making IPO. The Company''s Owns Employees (even for 40rs discount) are not willing to buy its share. What a untrustworthy company, their own employee are not showing Trust ..... Hahaha
Employee quota is not parameter to judge any company even in Zomato employee quota subscribed just 0.6x but I also agree that there are many better ipo so I am also skipping it
Now employee quota fully subscribed (1.37x) does it make any difference according to me no but still applied for 4 application upi mandate is pending will accept if GMP is 50+
FYI : Its not a manufacturing company with plants that have 10000 employees. Its a software company with around 700 employees. Companies do give ESOP but they dont do funding for employees to purchase shares in IPO. With even 1x subscription in employee category its more than enough. This is India. Not US where even office security staff get paid at $20 per hour.
175. Jetha Lal| Link| Bookmark|
December 9, 2021 4:44:53 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 2100+ Likes)