Few Big players are bullish on this script. They may drag premium to Rs.3 where huge accumulations can take place. Even with ASBA & Secondary market not much craze in this IPOs. Difficult to say that it will subscribe in retail quota. Advice: Apply only if QIBs above 10x No funding requirement till now from NIIs.
165.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 1:31:55 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 22000+ Likes)
Let us wait for the "Anchor Investors List" ... which should be available this evening
What the heck. I had made up a firm mind to apply but so much negativity on this forum in this IPO is making me rethink my option. Dimaag ka lassi ho gaya hai. I think I will now wait and watch for last day subscription numbers till 1400 h to decide on applying to it.
158.1. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 9:34:35 AM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
WHAT A MIND YOU CANNOT CHANGE IT AS PER YOUR WILL
BE FIRM WITH MIND BODY AND SOUL
158.2. Septa| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 10:14:27 AM
(4000+ Posts, 4600+ Likes)
Same here weekness in market and corporate governance issue I think I will skip the issue and buy after listing Today on Hindu ( business line) IMO best IPO reviews have recommended NOT TO APPLY
Weak links in the chain: Precision Camshafts
Good business fundamentals and efforts to make value additions to the product mix favour Precision Camshafts, an export focused auto component manufacturer with an 8 per cent global market share in camshafts.
But given that the market capitalisation of the stock will be around Rs 1,700 crore and that the size of business is much smaller than other component makers with substantial overseas operations, its valuation of 19 times the expected 2016-17 earnings is a bit on the high side. Considering the current volatility in the stock markets and the fact that small-caps may be more vulnerable to corrections, investors can keep away from the offer.
Holds promise Precision Camshafts derives about three-fourths of its revenues from export of camshafts (castings and machined), predominantly for passenger cars.
While Ford and General Motors are its key clients, each bringing in 25-35 per cent of the revenues, the UK, Germany, Spain and the US are some of its key markets. The company makes over 150 varieties of camshafts.
The more complex castings and machined camshafts fetch higher realisations and superior operating margins. Over the last four fiscals, machined camshafts have contributed about 30-35 per cent to revenues.
Average realisations have improved steadily from Rs 375 per camshaft in fiscal 2011 to Rs 504 in fiscal 2015. Since fiscal 2012, net sales (Rs 516 crore in 2014-15) has grown at a compounded annual rate of 19.9 per cent and net profits (Rs 62.3 crore in 2014-15), by a CAGR of 45.3 per cent.
Currently manufacturing the chilled cast iron variety of camshafts, the company is expanding into the ductile iron variety and assembled camshafts. This is expected to help bring Japanese auto makers such as Toyota and Suzuki which this variety, on board.
It is towards setting up a machine shop for ductile iron camshafts that the company is raising about Rs 240 crore from this IPO, apart from an offer for sale for about Rs 170 crore from promoters.
While ductile iron camshaft castings per se are not a higher margin business, machining operations on these are expected to help better realisations and margins.
The trend of increase in outsourcing of machining operations for these components by auto manufacturers is expected to aid on this front.
Weak areas Favourable foreign exchange movements, availability of certain export incentives from the government and production of some value-added camshaft varieties have helped operating margins soar to 24-26 per cent in fiscal 2015 and in the first six months of this year. Earlier margins have been at around 10-13 per cent.
The sustainability of over 20 per cent margins in the next two-three years is a question.
Over the long term, it may expand based on acquisition of higher machining business.
Secondly, three key promoters/management personnel have taken home a remuneration and commission of about Rs 19 crore and Rs 13 crore respectively in 2014-15. This seems high, compared to the net profit of Rs 62 crore for this period.
Finally, while there are no direct peers, despite its smaller size, the valuation is on par with bigger and more mature Indian companies that are focused in the overseas markets, such as Bharat Forge and Motherson Sumi.
As per Bloomberg estimates, other foreign companies that have a presence in camshafts such as Musashi Seimitsu, ThyssenKrupp and Linamar trade at 7.5-9.5 times FY17 earnings.
Chem Cho mind ur own business. I don''t need ur advice. I m not saying I will not apply still. I would just wait to see last day subscription figures. Ur attitude stinks. Maybe u stink as well. Who knows?
158.4. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 11:30:49 AM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
THIS SHOW YOU DONOT HAVE CONTROL ON MIND I AM SORRY IF IT HURTS YOU
158.5. Viraj| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 11:36:54 AM
IPO Mentor (900+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
I don''t need a certificate from u Chem Cho. U instead of commenting on other people its better if u mind ur business. Neither are u a psychologist to comment how other people r. This only shows ur immaturity. Passing useless comments on other people n gloating about self if u succeed shows how strong n macho u r. First learn how to behave in a society n in a forum.
158.7. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 1:53:17 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 22000+ Likes)
Just a humble suggestion from my side ... to all the grand masters in this forum ...
Since many of us in this group are confused ... I suggest let us all review whether to apply or not after we see the "Anchor Investors" list ... which will be available this evening ...
It could turnout to be a case like NH .. where the GMP kept 65 all the way down to 8-10 ... then then started rising after the Anchor list showed "Govt. of Singapore" as an investor.
Anchor investor is important but not always many time we have seen last year got anchor investor but share is still listed at discount. One very interesting think I found that biggest car market in India maruti has come on board lately. Why maruti not sourcing camshaft from the biggest player in Indian market.
If issue like NH Dr Lal and SH kellar have given very good return this issue should also but corporate governance is the biggest drag
158.9. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 3:46:57 PM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
YOU ARE STILL ANGRY YOU HAVE NO CONTROL ON MIND SEEMS YOU HAVE LOST OF MONEY IN STOCK MARKET
Chem cho get urself checked in a hospital. U have a habit of talking nonsence. Has Indigo price gone below IPO price? I don''t trade. N I hold long term. If Indigo is not below issue price then I have not lost any money. Maybe u have. Ur stupid comments makes one laugh at urchildish comments. It seems u can''t improve. Its better I stop replying to ur absurdity. I thought maybe my sarcastic comments will shame u into behaving. But no u have a one big ego n no brains. N I have realised that if u throw stone in muck the muck is going to come on u only. So u can keep blabbering now. Have a field day.
158.11. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 4:45:22 PM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
Interesting observation Septa. Maruti may not be sourcing from PCL becait has its partners with tie ups to provide critical components at competitive rates. Secondly, for foreign buyers PCL may be more cost effective than other vendors after incl all costs of manufacture, transportation, shipping and delivery. And lastly, quality reqmt of Jap auto manufactures is more stringent than most US companies. US companies are more interested in minting more money and hence can sub or avg std components to manufacture a car. That''s why the world over Jap companies are preferred. Same could be the case in India. I m not saying that PCL manufactures such components but combination of all these could be the factor why Maruti doesn''t have PCL as itssupplier. Just a gguess.
157. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 24, 2016 11:08:09 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 22000+ Likes)
Parag Milkfoods IPO is not withdrawn... It is opening on 3rd Feb (a day after Teamlease)
Precision Cam asking P/E= c.26 Bharat Forge P/E= 24.2 Thysengrupp (largest cam player but highly diversified like Bharat Forge in other ancilliary sectors apart from Auto) P/E = 26.7 Industry Average= 28.7
Becaof their diversion in other sectors like O&G, the shares have recently seen downward movement for both Thysengrupp as well as Bharat Forge.
When trapped investors anxiously waiting to be exit from crashing market,its foolish to trapped again in ipo and waiting endless to exit....falling market ignores al type of p/e...eps....forward earnings....it may loooot-koooot you....
Looks like even the boarder market is also confused apply or not fours back ET IPO watch: Precision Camshafts’ clear growth drive should put it on your radar By Ashutosh R Shyam, ET Bureau | 21 Jan, 2016, 04.00AM IST
Read more at: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/50661917.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
And then two back IPO preview: Precision Camshafts issue expensive By ECONOMICTIMES.COM | 22 Jan, 2016, 01.33PM IST
Read more at: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/50681754.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
Need to very vey careful IPO with very high valuation will flood the market given last year boom in IPO it better to sit in sideline and only apply if valuation is good if not avoid...... team lease with that kind of valuation is avoid better bet and play in secondary market.... precision Camshaft at the movement i want to apply 50% not apply 50% given the market is weak it is no applying bcoz market will discount anything and every thing....... will make i decision to apply based on friday demand....
Wait and watch policy is best policy for every IPO If subscription is high on last day at 1 pm then apply otherwise not Every share performs on demand and supply Fundamental not work in ipo
TEAMLEASE too (like Precision Camshafts) might disappoint....It appears to have cranked up a notch from Precision Cam in terms of the richness of pricing.
The issue size of 450 Cr implies OFS of 300 Cr which in turn implies: (1) MCap of 1578.6 Cr (2) Price of 932 (3) very high P/E of 72 !! and (4) very low IRR for equity investors of only 10.4% (disclaimer: in my calculations).
Consider TeamLease''s close comparable- QUEST (Ikya Global) : They are eying a valuation of more than 3,000 Cr with 58 Cr earnings implying a starting P/E of 52. Their net profit margin is 3 times that of TeamLease as they operate in higher value added segment. Still, TeamLease is audacious enough, in such uncertain market, to pitch for P/E of 72????
Lower Issue size (say 360 Cr) will bring the P/E lower (to 52 but still high!) and improve the IRR to 12% (disclaimer: IRR depends on analyst''s valuation assumptions).
In ipo appl form there is column for ASBA now we have to tick ASBA payment option, our account no. and sign. ? Now only this we have to do OR anything more? Please guide...
149.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 25, 2016 9:59:23 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 22000+ Likes)
what is the update on the GMP at your side ?
148. Earthking| Link| Bookmark|
January 24, 2016 12:04:30 PM
IPO Guru (1300+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
For l&t infotech IPO which as informed by experienced boarders may open in 2nd week of Feb ... Whether employee quota applicable ? If applicable is the 2 lakh limit applicable for employee quota ... ?? Experienced boarders help me as my roommate is working in l&t infotech ... Thanks in advance ...
it all depends on what price band they come out The company, which has been growing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37 per cent, is estimated to have a revenue of $500 million last year. so the size of mind tree MC is around 12000 crs..... so price should be at least at discount to mind tree.... let wait for its price band one thing it is very good franchise however last IPO from the group was not good to investor i think it issue at 52 and stay below fifty for long time in fours years the return has not been much.....
147.3. Ou Ai| Link| Bookmark|
January 24, 2016 1:00:26 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Investors has to understand it this way. Previously cheque was used as instrument to take the money and keep with them. Now the application requires investor to mention account number. The amount will be taken treating signature on application as authorization instead of cheque.
Only difference being, previously money was going out of investor''s account whereas now it remains blocked till allotment/refund, which is called as ASBA.
there is some problem between IPO broker and scsb bank for asba system. so IPO broker will not accept application form of all scsb bank,they will accept application of some scsb bank.
better way is that we should go at bank for application.