GMP of less than 50/- doesnt look good to me.Also high Valuations are discouraging.. Im not applying. that 10% GMP also may vanish before listing. Below is Equity Master view on this IPO which looks convincing to me. Dont want to take risk in over priced IPOs as such issues may also list in discount if market sentiment is negative at listing time.
The profitability of Mahindra Logistics does not compare favourably with its competitors and is on the lower side.
The trend of fast growth in the company''s SCM business has been prominent. This business has outpaced the PTS business which has been growing moderately and has remained resilient.
Non-M&M business clients of the company have contributed immensely to the growth. Average growth rate in SCM business outside the M&M group has been 65% in the last four years.
Apart from low costs, the asset-light business model of the company helps operations by bringing in high scalability.
While the company''s profits have grown over the years, but not on a consistent basis. As far as net profit margins are concerned, they have remained in the range of 1.6% to 2.1% during the last five years. In terms of valuations, at the upper price band of Rs 429, the company''s P/E ratio works out to 64.8 times. This seems to be very high in our view.
Further, the company''s RoE (Return on Equity) has decreased from 14.4% in FY15 to 13.1% in FY17.
Although the prospects for third-party logistics look bright with the advent of GST, the company''s growth lacks stability with wafer-thin margins further constricting its cash flows. It has also not been paying dividend because of the low profitability.
Also, capital infusion in operations would have helped the company''s negative cash flows, however, as the entire issue comprises of offer for sale, the company won''t be receiving any proceeds and therefore would not be able to strengthen its operations.
Given the above reasons, we believe the issue is aggressively priced. Hence, we recommend subscribers to consider avoiding this issue.
Before considering acting on any recommendation, we suggest that you consult with your investment advisor with regard to your individual situation.
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