44.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:03:38 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
MGL is a low risk low return IPO
Don''t expect any great fire works on listing ...
Much depends on issue price ... But you can expect a decent exit around (+/-) 575
44.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 7, 2016 8:10:09 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Will need to do more work once the RHP is available
44.3. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
June 7, 2016 8:41:17 AM
IPO Guru (2500+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
petro net lng was also low return IPO at the time of listing , now what you want to say about it
44.4. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 7, 2016 8:53:23 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Petronet LNG came to market before I started looking at IPOs .. so I really cannot comment on it ..
wrt MGL ... I am given to understand that there is no justification for it to be valued higher than IGL on PE basis ... except for the higher dividend of Rs.12/-
44.5. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 7, 2016 9:00:02 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Will have to look at the RHP to assess how much the EPS of MGL for March''16
In the meanwhile, for the sake of comparison ... the EPS of IGL for March''16 was ... Rs.33.15
Total 820000 residential, 2600 small commercial and 55 industrial customers. CNG fuel stations in Mumbai, Navi Mumbai etc.
GAIL and British Gas each selling 25 percent stack. Each has 49.75 stacks in Mahanagar Gas.
Total value of company 4800 crore post ipo. Total size of ipo around 1200 crore. Expected issue price is Rs. 485. Lot size is 30. Total shares for sale 2.46 crore.
Revenue 2095, 1885 crore for 2015, 2014. Net Profit 301, 297 crore for 2015, 2014. EPS is Rs. 30.
Comparison with peers: IGL, Gujarat Gas, Adani Enter etc. Most Peers are trading at P/E of 14 to 20. Industry P/E of 23.
At Rs. 485 , P/E is 16. This price is fair enough.
However, it is a basic utility company. We never see tremendous increase in customers, revenue and profit in utility company because of government regulations etc. We can see steady limited growth only. Medium to long-term investors will get more benefits.
At present petrol prices are not high then new customers are not opt for CNG vehicles.
Chances of loss is very rare. Investors will not get healthy returns in short term. IGL was listed in 2003-04 at Rs. 90 with issue price of Rs. 45. I don’t see this type of listing of Mahanagar. At present market, sentiments are not bad; I see listing gain is also possible.
40.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:17:03 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Ask CA Mehul Mehta ... He can check it on SP TULSIAN''s website and inform you
40.2. Khemka| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:21:16 AM
(1000+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
I assumed its 40 / 45
39. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:12:02 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Mainline IPOs of June:-
• Mahanagar Gas :- The joint venture of Gail India and Royal Dutch Shell Plc is coming up with Rs1200 crore issue offering 12.5% stake of each company. It is a 100% OFS issue. The issue is likely to open between June 20 and June 22. The anchor book blessment may take place on June 17.
• Quess Corp :- Bengaluru based company is all set to come up with Rs400 crore issue. It provides recruitment, temporary staffing, technology staffing and IT product solutions to 1500 clients at 8000 locations. Ajit Isaac and Thomas Cook have promoted the company. It may come up with IPO in third or fourth week of June.
• Advanced Enzyme Tech :- Enzyme product manufacturing and trading company will come up with Rs60 crore fresh and OFS of 44,73, 470 equity shares by end of June. It had approached Sebi in 2013 but didn''t come up with issue.
I WILL APPLY MGL WITH DOUBLE FORCE NO RISK GMP INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON SP TULSIANS WEBSITE BUT GMP IS ONLY INDICATOR ALL DEPENDS ON FUNDAMENTAL AND FUTURE GROWTH OF COMPANY
37.1. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 9:29:15 AM
IPO Guru (2500+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
35. Septa| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 7:36:18 AM
(4000+ Posts, 4600+ Likes)
Ujjivan''s late surge stuns HNIs
Several high net worth individuals (HNIs) have been caught on the wrong foot with their investments in Ujjivan Financial Services. About 600 such investors had placed leveraged bets worth nearly Rs 17,000 crore in its initial public offering (IPO). Shares of Ujjivan listed at a premium of only 10 per cent, which barely covered their interest costs. As IPO loans are given for a very short time, most of them had to liquidate their holdings. Soon after, Ujjivan''s shares saw a spectacular surge of about 60 per cent. On Friday, the stock touched a record high of Rs 400, almost double the issue price of Rs 210, leaving most HNIs red-faced.
Ujjivan''s late surge stuns HNIsContra call on VRL Logistics?
The share price of VRL Logistics has taken a sharp hit since late May, when the management declared flat sales growth, and more important, its promoters'' intention to enter the aviation sector through a separate venture. The stock price continued to go downhill after Chairman and Managing Director Vijay Sankeshwar said he was not worried about investor reaction to the company''s plans to enter the aviation sector. But, after falling 32 per cent, the stock price has started inching upwards, with traders beginning to bet on the passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill, which is expected to benefit the stock.
Amfi writes to Sebi on MF disclosures
To resolve the stand-off between the mutual funds sector and distributors, the Association of Mutual Funds in India, has written to the Securities and Exchange Board of India, seeking relief from the mandatory declaration of distribution commissions to investors in the half-yearly consolidated account statement. It has suggested that investors who give their folio number and name of scheme should be given access to this information only. It has also said in the past three years, only 23,000 new distributors have joined the sector, while 12,000 have left the trade. And, only one-third of the 75,000 distributors are currently active, unlike the insurance sector which has 2.5 million agents. Joydeep Ghosh
IGL and MGL are almost similar in profit margins, growth.only differenxe is Igl topline is about 50% higher.In my opinion, MGl has left a max of 10-15% in today''s market.I thinkMGL will se a max price of rs 550.
34.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:15:43 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Atulbhai,
You are a brave man ... You have invited the wrath of The esteemed CA MEHUL MEHTA ... In his opinion the fair value of MGL is 640 ... :)
As of 30 June 2015, MGL had 180 CNG filling stations CNG account for 65% of revenue and PNG 35% not sure how much it contributes to bottom line.... all the hard work of setting filling station has done which IMO is good also with government policy favourable and price advantage compare to diesel and petrol use and will improve which we have seen in increase in top line from Rs.2,135 crore in 2014-15, up from Rs.1,885 crore in the previous year.
However increase in bottom line has grew marginally to Rs.301 crore in 2014-15, from Rs.297 crore in the previous year with GAIL (India) Ltd and Royal Dutch Shell have solid promoters to grow PAN india given deep pockets compare to other two listed player..... With market cap of 4800 Cr and give s PE of 16 so compared to its peers IGL at 19 PE and GGL at 47 and industry PE of 24 ....
IMO it will a good IPO price rightly with a very bright future given deep pockets promoters and with modi government favourable CNG and PNG policy and increase number of usage also with subsides no more playing private oil marketing company will give run for money to PSU oil marketing company.... earlier private players in oil marketing failed big time with government subsidy policy however with favourable change IMO this sector could be next growth sector like what private bank policy did to banking in india....
I will apply and will also buy on listing good IPO friends and also rightly price.
Does anyone have last 6 months or 9 moths result pls share
just one more thing Ola, Uber gear up to switch to CNG as SC and state government may which would help to increase in use of CNG and PNG usage is improving i one of investment property PNG line r in use
33.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 6, 2016 11:20:33 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
IMO it is right price as it at discount to listed peers and it is backed by deep pocket promoters compare to other two players..... Any idea on 2016 topline and bottom line Eagleye.