NOW IT IS 100% CONFIRMED THAT MAHANAGAR GAS LIMITED IPO IS OPENING ON 21-6-2016 AND WILL CLOSE ON 23-06-2016. OFFER SIZE IS 24694500 EQUITY SHARES. ALLOCATION- QIB 50% HNI 15% AND RETAIL35%. IT IS MUCH AWAITED ISSUE.WE CAN AVAIL THIS OFFER.
165. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 6:40:46 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Mahanagar Gas IPO
EPS FY 15-16 is Rs.31.36 (subject to reconfirmation after reading RHP) FY 15-16 is Rs.30.54
158.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 6:19:35 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
No
158.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 6:51:43 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Not until you give your logic of MGL''s fair value as 640/- ... do you even have a case?? ... or you are perpetually "just joking" ... or have you now changed your name from "CA Saheb" to "Mr. JOKER" :)
MM, buy jsw energy,alphajio,ujjivan,sail,dish tv,dlf
157. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 3:02:52 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Mahanagar Gas Limited IPO Update: Â Opens On: 21-June-2016
Closes On: 23-June-2016  Offer Size: OFS Up to 2,46,94,500 Equity Shares  Employee Reservation:  Up to 2,00,000 Equity Shares  Net Offer: 2,44,94,500 Equity Shares  Net Offer Split:  QIB: 50% of Net Issue (1,22,47,250 Equity Shares)  HNI: 15%  of Net Issue (36,74,175 Equity Shares)  Retail: 35% of Net Issue (85,73,075 Equity Shares)  Company Brief:  One of the largest city gas distribution (“CGDâ€) companies in India (Source: CRISIL – CGD Report December 2014). Company have more than 20 years of experience in supplying natural gas in Mumbai and are presently the sole authorised distributor of compressed natural gas (“CNGâ€) and piped natural gas (“PNGâ€) in Mumbai, its Adjoining Areas and the Raigad district in the state of Maharashtra, India. Company promoted by GAIL and BGAPH, each of who holds 49.75% of company''s Equity Shares.
Initial look at the Mahanager Gas Numbers are not very attractive.... While the sales has more or less doubled in the last 5 years from 1,062 crores to 2,095 crores, the net profit has not kept pace with just 301 crores now as against Rs 226 crores almost 5 years back... Infact the margins during the last 5 years have been continues slipping from almost 24% NPM to slipping to as low as 14% last year. This 3 months the margins are a tade higher at 15%........ I guess most investors invest in a company where there is growth....... not depreciating margins....one needs to be carefull..... Already the grey market premium is suggesting Rs 125 higher on likely price of Rs 485.. taking it to almost Rs 610 or almost a Price to Earnings Ratio or P.E. of above 18.... For the NII quota at just 15% of the total amount to be garned by the company of Rs 1198 crore... it comes to Rs 180 crore. The grey market has already thing of subscribing the NII quota by more than 115 times.... If it crosses above 150 times then most NII investor or HNI investor are looking at loss because the interest element is likely to work out more than the earnings...... A careful evaluation of the current Nifty and Sensex along with timing of the market and the number of times it is likely to subscribe needs to be done.........
155.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 12:24:26 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
The real issue of anxiety with the MGL IPO is that ... the issue closing date is the same date as BREXIT referendum vote
155.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 12:32:15 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Sir,
The prime point of your argument is very solid ... "growing topline ... with a flattish bottomline" ...
However, your assumption of "likely price of Rs 485" ... is wrong ... the issue price will be 421 ... and the NII quota is 156Crs.
155.3. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 12:46:27 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
MGL IPO
NII category = 156Crs. So, assuming oversubscribed will be 150X then total application value will be 23,400Crs. ... which will be new a record high (highest until now has been Equitas = 18,740Crs)
Also, Interest cost calculation assumed as: 421 @8%p.a for 8 days = Rs.111/- .. which is lower than the current grey price of 125/-
Keep in mind that the BREXIT vote is on same day as MGL issue closing date ... which will keep anxiety levels in the market very high
Summary: Nifty has made its recent high at 8295 where it has tested its key resistance area placed between 8243 & 8339 (Weekly Close basis). It is likely to witness a correction in the near term wherein it could test its near term support zone placed between 7963 & 7899 (Weekly Close basis). Sustaining above 7899 on a Weekly Close basis is key for the upside momentum to remain intact.
Summary: Sensex has made its recent high of 27105 near its key resistance zone placed between 27148 & 27464 (Weekly Close basis). It is likely to witness a correction in the near term wherein it could test its near term support zone placed between 26160 & 25838 (Weekly Close basis). Sustaining above 25838 on a Weekly Close basis is key for the upside momentum to remain intact.
Summary : The index is facing resistance in the Daily Gap area between 13378 and 13468. Additionally, key near term resistance placed at 13638 (Right Shoulder of the Weekly Head & Shoulders pattern). A decisive Weekly Close above 13638 is required to indicate culmination of the corrective process since the high of 14237. Sustaining above the immediate support placed at 12891 on a Weekly Close basis is key. A failure to do so, could lead to a test of the key supports placed between 12305 & 12222.
Nifty Smallcap 100 (5389.15): A decisive Weekly Close above 5222 would lead to a test of 5426. Supports: 5222, 5090; Resistance: 5426, 6048
Summary : The Index has overhauled its immediate resistance placed at 5222 and is currently testing its key near term resistance placed at 5426. A move past the same on Weekly Close basis would indicate strength and would lead to an initial test of 6048. Immediate support is placed at 5222 on Weekly Close basis. Sustaining above the same would keep the upside momentum intact.
153. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 11:54:18 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Eagleye, good keep it up. Nothing wrong in giving ur calls. No one is perfect. Even if ur calls fails sometimes, there is nothing to worry. No one could predict 2008 meltdown or tech bust of 98. Giving calls shows ones maturity on understanding of the market. Rember u r just suggesting ur point. People follow or not its their wish. N do not get discouraged by failures. Every failure is a learning process. Failure doesn''t mean that one should stop growing as some people might suggest. Looking forward to more calls from ur side. Keep it up. N well done.
150. Khemka| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 11:10:17 AM
(1000+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
Nifty to tank 7877 this week ????
149. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 10:31:46 AM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Real expert work :: Name any one/two stock/stocks which is available @ cheapest/cheaper price compare to others ?...only based upon eps/PE. Just for example IT - hcl tech Steel - tata steel Banks - union bank,jk bank etc...
Can anyone do that ?? I think Many investors Wants this :).. This is real help for those who doesn''t hv much time to look for it or just dont know about it. Yeah we have real experts in here . Thanks in advance
A stock is cheap doesn''t mean u should buy it. It can remain cheap for years together if growth is slow....stocks which show growth go on becoming dearer
Jai Jinendra....Jai Shree Ram
147.2. gamble| Link| Bookmark|
June 13, 2016 8:49:57 AM
(1600+ Posts, 3900+ Likes)
No man!! U may b right but for growning or fully grown sectors there are still available stocks which are very cheap with enrich funda..so if we have a list then we could able to grab it @ right time @ right price / not after it increase 25-30% ... According to me if market going to b up.then this list can give u min 25% return without fails . So just get me list if anyone able to :)