@Jetha Lal ji
Thanks for the response and good to know that someone else is following the same strategy
@arunARUN I did the calculation as suggested by you
the results are as following ( stock return/index return)
polycab : 4.7x( 4.5 years)
CMS : 1.35x(1 years 8 months)
medanta : 1.57x( 10 months)
sbi cards : -.44x( 3years 6 months)
Fusion : 1.75x(10 months)
Magson : -.16(1.5 months)
patanjali : 1.2x(1 year 4 months)
so after updating the price to closing price, I am in loss on Magson and SBI cards additionally, I was earlier considering issue price and didn't care about index return because if i can't beat index return then there is no point in investing directly in stock market
Additionally, I forgot to add paytm where i lost in IPO apart from LIC and dharmaj( sbi cards also if you take opening day price as an indicator).
Paytm : applied due to huge lending potential, still invested, averaged out and now -4%
All in all, IPO investing has been quite fruitful for me, though of late i don't get much allotment due to huge subs
I do direct investing also as per my risk appetite and have made good returns, the best investment till date purely in monetary terms for me has been nucleus and infy(3x in 5 years)
nucleus (1.75x in 1.7 years)
@Asoke sarkar I understand that you mean the quality of data available in ipo could be sub-standard but that can be said about the companies listed in stock market also
In India, it is very difficult to gauge corporate governance of unknown companies and known companies won't give outsized returns, everyone is buying them already like HDFC, ICICI, RELIANCE, TATA etc.
So based on the info available in the market, interview from promoters, info shared by fellow boarders, our own channel checks if possible could help in determining the fundamentals of the company and take a bet accordingly.
I will give you an example Asoke ji
Polycab : My uncle has a electrical quipment related business and he said polycab switches are good and they were advertising also( paresh rawal ad) if i recall correctly, now normally a company would only spend on ad if they have belief on their prodcut and want to gain market share, so plycab was a bet that i took confidently
Medanta : Anybody in North-India would know how good they are( they are on par with Apollo/Fortis if not better and patna hospital was going well, i asked around( patna friend)
Paytm : Many serial entrepreneur say Vijay shekhar sharma is quite good and a driven man, if not him who, so still persisting with the bet
SBI cards : well known brand, credit card was sun-rise industry, UPI wasn't that prevalent then, now thinking of exiting out, valuations are attractive and price discovery has been done so that;s why still invested, will take a call in some time if increase the position or exit out completely
CMSINFO - asked around from banking friends and they confirmed cms solutions were being used by many banks and their service is good, valuations were fine and sub was low, so invested even though there was no GMP
Fusion : Again low valuations, read some research reports and took a bet, will increase allocation in this counter, MF sector could be a multibagger given low fancy
Magson : Good brand, retail fancy could make this a multibagger, profit in absolute terms( cmp/issue price), loss if closing price on 1st day is taken, holding it and won't sell until i could find some misgovernance or bad stuff about this, this could be 5x in 2 years if it generates good profit in coming quearters or if some big investor enters this counter
Apologies for the long post but wanted to convey my rationale behind the strategy I am employing,hopefully many more can apply this and hold on to their winners and i can continue spot good stocks and hold onto them if i get the allotment.
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