Below is an extract from Equitymaster view on ICICI Lombard IPO. I will just apply 1 lot only for long term holding.
The combined ratio (ratio of claim loss and management expenses to net premiums) of 104% means that the company is barely breaking even in the core insurance business. The number may certainly seem better than its public-sector peers, but the fact remains that profitability depends heavily on the investment returns.
The company delivered average shareholder''s return of 19.3% in the past three years with a solvency ratio of 210%, much ahead of the IRDA prescribed limit of 150%. In other words, being a leading player across segments and scoring well on all aspects of customer servicing, profitability and capital strength, ICICI Lombard is fundamentally adept to take advantage of the future growth potential.
Thus, while ICICI Lombard holds good potential, valuing the company is challenging as there are no listed peers for comparison. As non-life insurance has a short contract duration of one year that is renewed on a rolling basis, there is no concept of embedded value as in case of life insurance companies.
Moreover, as non-life insurance is dependent more on consumption, it is valued either at price-to-earnings (PE) for growth business or price-to-book (PB) for mature business. Based on a trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings, ICICI Lombard is valued at 41 times at the higher end of the band. This is higher than the PE of 38.5 times commanded by the NBFC sector. Even its PB value of 7.6 times is quite expensive. Moreover, the non-life insurer is yet to turnaround its underwriting business - the operating expenses still exceed the premium earnings - to justify the hefty valuations it is asking for.
The upper price band of the IPO is 48% higher than the price at which the joint venture partner, Fairfax Financial Holdings, sold its 12.2% stake in ICICI Lombard in May 2017.
Thus, while ICICI Lombard is well placed fundamentally, the expensive pricing does not provide adequate margin of safety. Therefore, we recommend subscribers to consider AVOIDING the IPO.
Before considering acting on any recommendation, we suggest that you consult with your investment advisor with regard to your individual situation.
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