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G N A Axles Ltd IPO Message Board (Page 9)

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216. IPOCOP |   Link |  Bookmark | September 18, 2016 8:58:05 PM
Septa sir,
I am holding dilip buildcon shares alloted in IPO.
Movement starts since last two days. What''s your target upto Diwali..... Thks.in advance.
216.1. Septa |   Link |  Bookmark | September 19, 2016 1:13:30 AM (4000+ Posts, 4600+ Likes)
i am bullish on this counter short term six month with very good order book and lot of new order bidding will do will. have a stop loss at 230 and wait for 300 target soon
215. Aggarwal Abhishek |   Link |  Bookmark | September 18, 2016 12:23:42 PM
Septa Sir,,
I try to learn from you at the interface of the forum and I dedicate my 1st fair value working to u......
I have tried to find out the fair value of GNA as per your methodology by taking the growth rate of 11% to 8% and discounting factor of 10%
and i find fair value at 268...
but i am confused whether growth rate and discounting factor taken by me is correct or not...
please guide over it,

                  
No of shares      21470000            
Initial Cash flow''       259,560,000.00             
Discount Rate      10%            
Terminal Growth       5%            
Growth 1-5      11%            
growth 6-10      8%            
Margin Of Safety      25%            
                  
                  
Year      Flows      Growth       Value
1       288,111,600.00       11      $261,919,636.00
2       319,803,876.00       11      $264,300,724.00
3       351,784,263.60       10      $264,300,724.00
4       386,962,689.96       10      $264,300,724.00
5       421,789,332.06       9      $261,897,990.00
6       459,750,371.94       9      $259,517,098.00
7       501,127,905.42       9      $257,157,852.00
8       541,218,137.85       8      $252,482,255.00
9       584,515,588.88       8      $247,891,668.00
10       631,276,835.99       8      $243,384,547.00
                  
                  
Terminal value       662,840,677.79             
                  
PV of 1-10      $2,577,153,218.00             
                  
Terminal value       5,111,075,500.00             
                  
Total Present Value      $7,688,228,718.00             
                  
Number of shares       21,470,000.00             
                  
Intrinsic value       358.09             
                  
Margin of safety       268.57             



215.1. Rock Star |   Link |  Bookmark | September 19, 2016 11:08:47 AM
Well.. I feel you need to change the inputs
1. Discounting rate should be higher.. Calculate WACC: take Cost of Equity as current GMP of 45 which is roughly 21-22%...get the cost of Debt from prospectus..
2. You can reduce growth to 6% in later part (between 8-10).
3. Take NOPAT as casfhflow
4. Consider the CAPEX they have plan....

if you dont understand anyof this term...google it
215.2. Aggarwal Abhishek |   Link |  Bookmark | September 19, 2016 11:39:28 AM
Sir....
Thank you
I am ok with all terms ....
Further I want to know that how to find out growth rate....

214. AshishC |   Link |  Bookmark | September 18, 2016 12:07:18 AM
GMP 43-46
213. Bathiya Shyam Pradipbhai |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 11:09:03 PM
gmp of G N A Axles ltd. ipo
212. jinesh doshi |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 4:26:33 PM
Gna nu gmp yesterday45 ma buyer hata aje 25 right gmp kon sa hai
211. sushils |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 2:47:13 PM
Had seen so much negativity about it. Even in their advt it was specified about winding petition of thier group companies. Stil 54x subscription is a major mark.
May I know on what basis HNI are interested in it. With heavy subsceiption, we can expect listing gain for sure. Is it worthwhile for long run or its a trap?
211.1. kukurks |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 3:11:12 PM
It is only trap like quik heel
210. Value Hunter |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 1:03:52 PM
GNA GMP @ Rs. 25/-
209. jinesh doshi |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 12:16:35 PM
Gmp for gna
208. Lalaram |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 12:14:42 PM
no allotment for Retail Category ?
207. Ik |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 11:57:13 AM
My pan NO AJYPD6424A is chek my application status. MSG not recive application sudmit. I have no application number
206. Vaibhav |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 10:45:57 AM
It''s going to be another, Quick Heal or precision camshaft.
One of my friend is doing job in Ambit capital. Ambit capital is lead manager in this IPO. The lead manager itself are not much excited for GNA.
206.1. NIHAR VORA |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 12:14:46 PM
Possible.

Lets See how the Beta acts on the listing Date.

Risk to Reward Ratio............
206.2. kukurks |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 9:09:19 PM
Yes you are right
205. gamble |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 10:37:25 AM (1600+ Posts, 3900+ Likes)
LTT, IPL : full allotment
GNA : NO allotment.
204. tushar |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 10:05:26 AM
Rajeev miss u lots .....u all r giving gr8 selfless service
203. tushar |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 10:02:42 AM
I never forget pinky Jain .....given an excellent tips on shree pushkar chemical ..... Pinky plz share it thoughts
202. tushar |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 9:55:45 AM
Septaji , eagleeye u both r the jaan of dis forum I m de fan of ur knowledge of Equity n hats of to ur selfless service keep it continue we miss eagleye yet ,....plz come back if u can
201. Vinayagrawal |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 9:39:24 AM
I have appled for gna i get mail from bse that you have appied but my bank doesnt block the amount what should i have to do now
201.1. BADAYA |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 10:21:31 AM
wait dear ...it takes 2-5 days depending on the bank , for amount blocking....
200. AMRISHIPO |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 8:55:41 AM
AGAIN
LINK TIME HAS DONE IT

GOOD SHARE IPO ONLY AT LINK TIME ,

KARVY IS NOT GOOD FOR IPO LISTING GAINS
199. Silapathar |   Link |  Bookmark | September 16, 2016 11:09:49 PM
Top Contributor Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
How to check if your application went to BSE or NSE?
199.3. Silapathar |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 12:48:38 PM
Top Contributor Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@Badaya , That is to check application status on BSE, I do not know if the application was sent to BSE and NSE. Just wanted to know on what basis brokers decide to send to which exchange.
199.4. dpcdsl |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 8:26:36 PM
Top Contributor Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Apart from SMS, e-mail also sent to e-mail id as per UCC of both exchanges.

Link for NSE bid/allotment status
https://www.nseindia.com/products/dynaContent/equities/ipos/ipo_login.jsp
198. Tyrion |   Link |  Bookmark | September 16, 2016 10:43:56 PM
Hi all,

Where can i see the no. of application(not shares) dropped for any IPO under QIB,HNI,RII and employee category ?
198.1. Tyrion |   Link |  Bookmark | September 17, 2016 11:43:20 PM
Any link/website ?
197. Priya |   Link |  Bookmark | September 16, 2016 10:20:10 PM
Issue Subscription Detail (21:14:03 IST)

Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs): 17.18 times
Non Institutional Investors (NII): 217.47 times
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs): 11.84 times
Employee: 0.31 times
Total: 54.88 times