Based on lackluster financial performance of this company in past and bad performance of better defense companies (cochin, HAL, BDL) in stock market, this ipo should be clearly avoided
BSE Delisted more than 200 companies in the last 3 months. In BSE500 Index 50% companies are swallowing investors wealth , hitting new low everyday since last few weeks. So the conclusion is regarding any good IPO - apply and sell on listing if allotted.
Very high price IPO.Avoid this PSU. Its price should not be more than 80-85.After listing it would be easily available at this price.Even though it would be available cheaper , this stock will struggle to find buyer in the open market.Had it come at reasonable price , it would be definitely apply call for listing gain.
Very high should have been given to Aavas which is coming at PE around 70...GRS is fairly priced...only concern is their zigzag PAT
45.2. SJ| Link| Bookmark|
September 21, 2018 2:07:32 AM
(1300+ Posts, 3200+ Likes)
Both are coming at high valuations. Not a single script is performing on the exchange when comes to shipping related share. Cochin shipyard , ABG shipyard , Shipping Corporation of India and so on.If you compare pe of garden with this shares you'll realise high valuation.
3 Year Book Value CAGR 0.3% (Less than 1%) 3 Year Revenue Growth -5% (Negative) 4 Year Average Net Profit Margin around 5%, very volatile profit figure and difficult to forecast
These kind of companies specially PSU's trade at 0.50 times of its book Value
May be a listing day small pop, not a long term investment at all
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited - Book Value is around Rs 88 and EPS is around Rs 7 - We can expect a minimum dividend of around Rs 4.4, translating into a dividend yield of 3.7%.
The percentage of net profit to total revenue is falling sharply. At present it is around 3%. On increase of total revenue profit after tax should increase whereas it is decreasing at the fast rate.
GRSE/Govt spending big on this IPO with constant TV ads in last week. There are some order announcement in pipeline, as per news reports in recent past. IPO is priced well. So, like RITES, this is a IPO buy & hold for first 3 months IMO.
But after that, there is no hope in hell for serious investors for atleast 3 years...Reason being the upcycle of steel cycle. Looking at the prospectus, best return is seen in FY2016 when raw material steel was its lowest domestic & international. SAIL has started manufacturing the high tensile warship category steel GRSE needs. But, with steel cycle going to be on a high, prices will only go up. Also there is tariff issues that may come in importing high grade steel from Russia.
Next problem is execution. CAG came hard on Indian Navy recently on warship delay because they changed ship design 23 times. Number of delays GRSE has incurred due to internal & external factor is numerous.
So, its a BUY for short term and big AVOID for long term...
Dividend Policy of Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited - In accordance with the CPSE Capital Restructuring Guidelines, it is required to pay a minimal annual dividend of 30% of PAT or 5% of Net Worth, whichever is higher, unless an exemption is provided.
Another Defense contractor. Thousand of crores of order book. Past performance of defense contractors are not up to the mark i.e. Cochin Shipyard, HAL, BDL.
Dear Aniketiaf Very tough allotment. Already retail subscribed above 2.5 times. Retail may be 40 times at the end. Hni already 8.5 times it may be above 350 times. It is the first sme in last one year this kind of subscription. Listing gain may be 50%
We can sell the shares of SME IPO if allotted on the listing day, right? Please advise.
Thanks, Sunil
33.3. Aniketiaf| Link| Bookmark|
September 14, 2018 4:11:41 PM
IPO Guru (1800+ Posts, 10200+ Likes)
@ sunilStockLearner,
Of course ! You can...
There is a minor difference between main stream IPO and SME IPO - In SME, you have to sell whole lot at a time , partially not permissible. Also after listing, if you want to buy, you have to buy in multiple of lot size shares. Thanks.
Thanks for your reply. Till now I haven't applied in any of the SME IPO. Should I try my luck with this one? Though you have given your go ahead, just confirming it again.
Thanks, Sunil
33.5. Aniketiaf| Link| Bookmark|
September 14, 2018 4:42:41 PM
IPO Guru (1800+ Posts, 10200+ Likes)
sunilStockLearner,
Yes ! You should apply. Allotment will be tough , but more than 25% listing day Gain should be there. Better we should try our luck. Thanks.
Why investors fear from this IPO. Think if GMP is only 10/- Rs. Than you have 1200/- profit bcoz of 120 Nos. of lot. And Also issue prices is so Good Dont Fear Apply