i have assumed 44 crores will be outstanding share and growth rate between 30% to 15% and margin of safety of 30% and discount rate of 12% i still get good numbers for a sector with is growing at 40% i get a Intrinsic Value per share at Rs. 153.3 which 43 above the the issue price of 110. IMO this is a good issue to apply for max lot for a good return both short term and long term. With additional capital and small banking licence we could see more growth then the assumed numbers....
Initial Cash Flow: $1,06,60,00,000 2015 NP
Years: 1-5 6-10
Growth Rate: 30% to 15%
Terminal Growth Rate: 5% Discount Rate: 12%
Shares Outstanding: 44,00,00,000 Margin of Safety: 30%
Year Flows Growth Value
1 1,38,58,00,000 30% $1,23,73,21,429
2 1,80,15,40,000 30% $1,43,61,76,658
3 2,34,20,02,000 30% $1,66,69,90,764
4 2,92,75,02,500 25% $1,86,04,80,763
5 3,65,93,78,125 25% $2,07,64,29,423
6 4,57,42,22,656 25% $2,31,74,43,553
7 5,48,90,67,188 20% $2,48,29,75,235
8 6,58,68,80,625 20% $2,66,03,30,609
9 7,90,42,56,750 20% $2,85,03,54,224
10 9,48,51,08,100 20% $3,05,39,50,954
Terminal Year $9,95,93,63,505
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows: $21,64,24,53,613
Terminal Value: $45,80,92,64,316
Total PV of Cash Flows: $67,45,17,17,929
Number of Shares: 44,00,00,000
Intrinsic Value (IV): $153.30
Margin of Safety IV: $107.31
What Percentage of IV comes from 68%
the Terminal Value: