@Anshujii , I'm skipping Was thinking to go with 10 lakh worth application if QIB > 5x I still feel this will not list in discount as majority of the allotment will be with institutions and supply coming from retail and HNI should get absorbed easily. I feel listing will be flat (so - no point of paying charges to government if our buying and selling price is same).
seeing the subx and financial its almost an avoid candidate. But seeing fraudEnteroIPO trending in X.. seems something is cooking.. can't recall when we saw such a trend for an IPO application. I will probably take a risk of applying one retail
@Justalearner Thanks Bandhu..!! Let's QIB to play the Game..!! Avoiding...!!
143.3. UjwalG| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:58:31 PM
IPO Guru (1300+ Posts, 600+ Likes)
No domestic mutual fund !! I think same was in anchors too. Only Fii.
142. arunARUN| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:57:42 PM
IPO Guru (2000+ Posts, 1700+ Likes)
Overall issue 1.33 times at 1 57 PM. Now confirm allotment only in sHNI and bHNI category
141. antarix| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:56:53 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Subscription status: QIB 2X BHNI 0.09 x SHNI 0.24 x Retail 1.16 x Employee 1.09 x
Total 1.33 x
140. G profit| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:41:46 PM
IPO Mentor (1200+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
At the time of writing this message at 01.40pm, subscription figures are very poor. May be qibs will put in their applications last minute at around 3pm. Otherwise bhni, shni and retail responses are all very poor. Only QIBs will be able to make this ipo a success
139. SOAM| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:34:11 PM
Top Contributor (900+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Don't wanna take more risk. Already chuna Epack ne laga diya h. Jana ka na jane kya hoga. Avoiding this script.
Saving An Interest Cost of Around 20-22 cr ( Interest Rate At 14.5% )
2.The Working Capital Requirements will be Fulfilled From IPO Money , Hence Future Requirements of New Debt will Reduce And The Intenal Accruals will be Strong To Funds Additional Needs Of Capital Resulting Into Higher Operational Efficiencies
3.Inorganic Expansion Coming Up Will Drive Further Growth
The Company has Grew At A CAGR Of 36% since Inception , But I personally don't expect that This CAGR To Be Sustainable So Cutting the Growth to 31.5% , H2 is a Bit stronger For The Company
So , FY 24 PAT : H1 - 11.5 cr H2 - 19.5 cr* ( Considering A PAT Margin of 0.75% )
FY 25 : Revenue - 5600 cr PAT - 75 cr ( PAT Margin At 0.95% And Saving of Interest Cost of Around 22 cr )
Giving It A 65× on FY 25 Earnings Fair Valuations Comes At M.cap Of 4875 cr Means Price Of 1105
For Me The Valuations Are Streched
1100 Was It's Fair Price
Negatives :
1.It May Raise Further Debt For More Working Capital and Funding Inorganic Expansion Resulting Into more Degradation in Estimated Earnings
2.The Average Interest Rate of the Debt is Around 14.5% which is very Very High , For Me it is a Big Negative 14.5% is charged to Real Estate Developers And Hotels , This Rate Looks Hefty
3.Any Problems in Supply Chain Can Disrupt The Operations
4.Need Of Higher Working Capital is A Big Concern
Honestly I am Not Very Negative on The Company , But The Lead Managers Have Overpriced This One , For Long-term I am Bullish As of Now Skip This Pricey Bet
134. Seth.| Link| Bookmark|
February 13, 2024 1:19:46 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 600+ Likes)
Be cautious who applying in HNI. Fundamentals are in bad condition , Negatives are more and positives are less and demand also less in gmp and subscription so risky for listing gain..