105. Ipoaspire| Link| Bookmark|
February 3, 2023 7:17:55 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
I am also saying that RBMINFRACON will go to 150 by March ,and since the data analysis of urs is also proved same it will be surely go the 150 levels.but many people are sceptical about it.apart from dat analysis,the sector is good nd the company has huge growth prospects.
104. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 9:03:15 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Data science model results: Group : Gold (Scale:- high- Diamond, medium-Gold, Low- Silver) Risk : 50:50 (Scale:- 0 to 100) Return: <100% return from listing in 3-6 months time frame
Note: Statistical Algorithms used- Group identification: Cluster analysis; Risk analysis: Classification; Return analysis: Neural network. Data: 1 Year Historical data
Thanks, Guru Mahadev Data scientist https://www.linkedin.com/in/gurum1/
keep sharing you fruitful ipo review for every ipo Thanks Guru Mahadev sir🙏
104.2. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 9:38:18 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@JJGG Sure.
104.3. Ipoaspire| Link| Bookmark|
February 3, 2023 3:53:07 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@gurumahadev sir, i have been observing ur posts from mny days.all ur predictions happened.RBMINFRACON is a good stock..u have also commented regarding RBMINFRACON that another rhetan tmt forming.whata ur view and target as per ur data analysis for RBMINFRACON
104.4. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 3, 2023 6:10:30 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Ipoaspire. As I mentioned I can tell which group it belongs to diamond/gold/silver based on my analysis rbm is kind of dimond group means expect>2X return in span of 3-6 month's. Note: my statistical analysis results purely based on historical data...
104.8. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 5, 2023 7:16:25 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@SachinK. On Vital. Group: Silver (scale. High- diamond, medium -Gold, low- silver). Risk: 75(scale 0-100) return: - ( expect negative listing in time line: 3-6 month's)
104.9. Kapz| Link| Bookmark|
February 5, 2023 9:38:35 AM
IPO Mentor (600+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
@GuruMahadev, thanks for sharing your findings. Would you be able to suggest the input parameters into the model… e.g. does it include any of the fundamental indicators i.e. Revenue, Ebidta, Eps, np, pe, etc. on quarterly or yearly basis, and industry or competitor specific indicators? Also, would love to know if you’ve back tested any of your independent or hybrid models on any sample stocks/ industry to ascertain whether their output has been in line with the real market values and to what accuracy levels? If so, will you be able to share any of your case examples so everyone is able to ascertain the confidence level in your findings. Thanks 🙏
104.10. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 5, 2023 10:13:58 AM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@kapz. Yes including all ipo specific parameters plus broader macro economics influencing variables 100+...30+ plus derived variables like profit increasing YoY yes or no?. Borrowings decreasing YoY.... Validation done on historical IPOs in the last 3 months... 3 quarter for training model. Next quarter for testing. Accuracy 90+... Derived on world biggest hedge fund management investment experience( can't disclose it)... I think above explanation answer all your doubts. Still need more details on my research background please go through my LinkedIn profile.
104.11. Kapz| Link| Bookmark|
February 5, 2023 11:16:59 AM
IPO Mentor (600+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Thanks @GuruMahadev. Appreciate you answering the questions (these were just my questions, not doubts) for better understanding of your approach. Not doubting your capability or research background. Again, for better understanding, will greatly appreciate if you can share your case examples on which you’ve back tested to compare your model results with present values. It would be great to look at where your model gave accurate forecasts and where it missed (90% vs 10% as you suggested). Lastly, is your model specific to IPOs or does it extend into secondary market as well? Thanks again 🙏
104.12. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 5, 2023 12:40:04 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@kapz. Yes It's currently limited to IPO market, it will take time to implement for secondary market. and come to sharing Results Have some copyright issues( some research paper we combinedly worked also have Patent plans, So).... but my suggestion for result validation:- you can validate based on already given data science model results IPO's like RBM, Chaman, Vital, Earthstahl.
@Gurumahadev Thanks a lot..for your analysis on Vital Chemtech
104.15. sprint| Link| Bookmark|
February 17, 2023 4:28:36 AM
(200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@Gurumahadev Appreciate your work on this, but one request for you, next time whenever you post this some data science model based result, Please include company name in the beginning for which you are sharing the information..
Generally, as we mix-it up with multiple company comments in one active thread, it is difficult and understand for which company actually you are trying to say.. Just an advice. Thank you
104.16. GuruMahadev| Link| Bookmark|
February 17, 2023 9:18:23 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@ sprint Sure will consider your input.
103. Ipoaspire| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 6:47:05 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Buy RBMINFRACON at current price and can expect target of 150 by March . company has huge order value and bright future prospects.dont apply any sme ipo with weak sectors.
If market hovers over 17600 on listing day, it's 70+ definitely or maybe more.
102.4. Trueinfo| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 3:08:15 PM
IPO Guru (1800+ Posts, 1700+ Likes)
First worry is allotment. That itself is very very difficult.
101. Heathslayer| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 9:18:15 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
Stable market conditions would've taken GMP to 25+ easily.
100. Smile✍️| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 5:13:37 AM
IPO Guru (1600+ Posts, 900+ Likes)
Everyone was saying adani group is safe at least till 2024 election. But Buble blasted. Next Buble blast will be in overvalued SMEs. Be cautious, now lot will hit SL.
100.1. Heathslayer| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 8:41:36 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
People made hell lot of money in Adani stocks those who bought 2-3 yrs ago. Of course, you can't make money by buying those stocks at 3k-4k.
Side topic… Rainbow Child… just announced date of 9th Feb to consider their Q3 results, but the shares already declined substantially this week.. perhaps people already aware of poor results selling it ahead of public disclosure
India mein sab chalta hai…jugaad or insider trading or backdoor politics… just mere words without appropriate governance or watchful eyes..
Btw, Rainbow child is only an example, I’m sure most people would have seen the notorious coincidence of SME share prices moving big in either direction before results being out publicly… same happened with Paradeep phosphates also yesterday and many others..
Wonder where the accountability lies. Is anyone watching?
On top of that even the authenticity of financial data is at stake specially in SMEs. Hindenburg has pointed out in his report abt the firm doing audit of ADANI gp companies. So, the reliability of data is also under question (may not be true for most). But see Satyam case......
@AAvi, absolutely spot on. I think for authenticity of financial data, it may not be that obvious and some specialists or deep digging may be required to uncover the dodgy practices. Whereas, price movements before official release of results is happening in broad daylight under the nose of SEBI, and other monitoring agencies, in practically every other SME counter. It’s hard to miss for anyone as it is bloody damn obvious. But then, who doesn’t know this already.🤷🏻♂️
What SEBI does in cases where it is too obvious (eg Ease My Trip) to ask if there is any insider info or some kind of dubious activity going on. To which company replies - all ok. And that's the end of it. Same thing had happened in VARANIUM last Q result. When they are declared on Sunday, then some relief may be there but one can't predict anything........
I had applied form bank of baroda in hni category for 30 lots. However, bank could not process the application and submitted in retail for 1 lot. Can I take action against and at where?
94. No trade| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 2:24:30 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
92. abc xyz| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 10:53:49 AM
IPO Guru (1100+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
Great response received by this ipo even in great Adani vs Hindenburg turbulence. The allotment will be declared on 3rd Feb. In NII & Retail categories there will be only 359 successful applicants. So mostly it will be only Blocking- Unblocking exercise for most of t he people. Only 718 luckiest person will get it. Enjoy till the time.
Many IPO's may be in pipeline. Due to ROC problem of not uploading Prospectus due to migration from V2 to V3 portal, and deadline for physical submission of prospectus upto 22/01/2023 not been extended by ROC. It may be reason for many LM/Company they are not planning for Issue open dates until the problem resolved.
Price Band 55-57 Lot Size 2000 shares registrar bigshare date 07 feb to 09 feb
@admin Chittorgarh pleas add page for same.
90. abc xyz| Link| Bookmark|
January 31, 2023 10:42:23 PM
IPO Guru (1100+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
One more feather in the Cap of Hem Securities. Any strong or Bad financial company but the name of Hem is enough for the great subscription. Big Lesson to all Lead Managers.
88. PLAZA| Link| Bookmark|
January 31, 2023 4:02:52 PM
IPO Guru (2000+ Posts, 1200+ Likes)
BUDGET SPECIAL IT IS INFORMED BY THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE THAT GOVT IS GOING TO CHARGE GST ON APPLICATION AMOUNT OF IPO BECAUSE IT IS VERY HUGE AMOUNT AND WILL BE USED FOR GAP DOWN FISCAL DEFICIT OF 2023-24 .
AGAR AISA HO TO BIG HNI SMALL HNI BAN JAYENGE AUR SABKO ALLOTMENT MILNE KE CHANCES HO JAYENGE.