A simple rule of thumb works for me. Look at OFS as part of IPO. In this case out of a size of 600 crore, OFS is 540 crore which is 90%. This is a sure avoid.
Any issue with OFS being more than 50% of the total issue can be avoided.
Any IPO has 2 components, OFS (Offer for Sale) and Fresh Equity. An OFS is a sale of shares by existing shareholders as part of the IPO and Fresh Equity is the what the company gets out of the IPO. This Fresh Equity can be deployed into business to generate additional revenues, facility, reduce debt, better working capital. In this case out of 600 cr IPO, 540 cr of the collections will be taken by the existing shareholders who are selling their shares as part of IPO. Only 60 crore is received by the company. For a company that is making 46 crore as profit last year, share holders cash out for 540 crore cash by selling their partial stake.
In a normal scenario, unless it is a PSU sale offering (Cochin Shipyard as there the objective is disinvestment), a high OFS ( > 60%) that not the price is at a premium and should be a red flag for investors.
Got your point with more clarity now. Thanks for sharing your knowledge.
So apart from pricing it ridiculously high, they are not planning to utilize the proceeds of IPO for their expansion or development. That''s pretty bad for investors :(
145.4. juju| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 12:57:21 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
@Ajay ji I respect your opinion , but a question to you, what do you do in case of IPO consisting of only OFS e.g. SBI Life ? @Rajkumar Please read Object of Fresh Issue ,Objects of the Fresh Issue Company proposes to utilise the Net Proceeds towards funding the following objects:
A. Repayment/pre-payment, in full or in part, of certain borrowings availed by the Company; B. Setting up a unit for manufacturing of LED TVs at the Tirupati Facility; C. Enhancement of our backward integration capabilities in the lighting products vertical at our Dehradun I Facility; D. Upgradation of the information technology infrastructure of the Company;
Although what Ajay says sounds convincing... but, the objects of the issue are pretty clear and that shows, repayment of debts, setting up new unit etc... for which 60 crores seems to be too less... @Ajay... are we missing something ?
When a listed company goes for an IPO (SBI Life, ICICI Lombard, L&T Fin, Syngene) of a subsidiary, the OFS can be high and also the price as the seller is not an individual but the shareholder of the parent company. The reason being that a new shareholder should not be coming at an expense of old shareholders. Same is true for disinvestment, where generally the price is kept low with retail discounts.
The red flag is glaring when with a new IPO listing with a very high OFS as in this case. Please understand that the reason of Fresh Equity are very much standard across all IPO (Coming is setting new facility, retiring debts, increase marketing or a new product line launch) Not fair to comment whether 60 crore is sufficient but it is obvious that the purpose of this IPO is not to scale the organization but to give an exit route to the existing shareholders. They can never come with a 100% OFS IPO as that will never be taken by the lead bankers.
145.10. PSR| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 2:21:47 PM
IPO Guru (1300+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Dear AjayArora Sir, Your attention is invited to the Thyrocare Technologies Ltd IPO where in the entire issue (100%) consisted of OFS and no fresh issue. Issue details are as under:
»» Issue Size: 10,744,708 Equity Shares of Rs 10 aggregating up to Rs 479.21 Cr › Offer for Sale of 10,744,708 Equity Shares of Rs 10 aggregating up to Rs [.] Cr »» Face Value: Rs 10 Per Equity Share »» Issue Price: Rs 420 - Rs 446 Per Equity Share .
Inspite of that the script listed at very good premium and even now it is trading at good premium.
Hope this explains my stand.
145.11. juju| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 2:22:33 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Ajayji I would like to thank you for your shared information.You taught us some very basics of value investing, which we generally ignore. But as far as this IPO is concerned as PSR pointed out people here in this forum are more interested in short term prospects( Listing gains etc.) it is totally demand and supply which will guide its price. With such good anchor list, I doubt it will open to discount.Anyways thanks for sharing your knowledge. To apply or not is a call for individual
@PSR Thyrocare, devil is in details. The promoter sold only 1.1% stake via OFS, the remaining sale was by the VC firm. Thyrocare came at PE of 40 when their PAT Margin are in that range of 40%. For Dixon PAT Margin are in range of 3% and they care coming at PE of 60.
Disclosure - I applied to Thyrocare, got the allotment and sold the IPO shares at around 740.
I generally don''t sell IPO allotment for 1 year so don''t necessarily look at listing gains. The last I applied and got was Apex Frozen.
@Kick ji... 400 GMP is really too much correction, only in the morning it was around 550. Any particular reason... i am from pune.. please advise how i can sell in grey in pune as i am from pune ? ... how can i contact you ?
Ahead of its initial public offer today, consumer electronics manufacturer Dixon Technologies raised nearly Rs 180 crore from anchor investors, including Kuwait Investment Authority Fund and Goldman Sachs India.
Grey Market Trend: On 05 September at 16.00 IST :GMP INR 600 & Kostak INR 475 On 02 September at 17.00 IST :GMP INR 450 & Kostak INR 560 On 01 September at 11.00 IST : GMP INR 500 & Kostak INR 300
141. DownriteVJ| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 3:10:35 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 1200+ Likes)
HNI funding is not confirm by NBFC''S due to margin issue they are asking 7.5% intrest plus 2 % margin know so they are also not sure for subscriptions...
Hi Vikram..I think you are missing something..even i use Axis ASBA, but all the active IPO''s (Mainline and SME) are listed there including Dixon and BRNL. Please check again..
134.1. juju| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 11:40:46 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Anchor Investor list looks good STEADVIEW CAPITAL MAURITIUS, HDFC SMALL CAP FUND, DSP BLACKROCK MICRO CAP FUND, GOLDMAN SACHS INDIA, KUWAIT INVESTMENT AUTHORITY, FRANKLIN TEMPTON, HSBC INDIA, NOMURA , SBI, BIRLA , ICICI, KOTAK, TATA AIA
CAPACITE INFRASTRUCTURES OPEN/CLOSE - 13-9 To 15-9
Best IPO of 2017 if u have small capital to invest in IPO then avoid matrimony.com dixon and BRNL and apply for this... because i have visited its project site... they have greater plans and Best team for building big infrastructures
Visit there website and see how many big projects they worked on
131. Chem cho| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 11:09:36 AM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 2700+ Likes)
WAIT and watch
130. PavanM| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 1:22:02 AM
IPO Mentor (600+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
Im avoiding Dixon due to its low margins, high issue price, US-North Korea tensions and other good IPOs like Capacite, SBI life Insurance and ICICI Lombard coming in same month.
1. Because they are market leader and have no competition in their field.
2. Margin is low, but growth will be good, due to Make in India initiatives.
3. In future , it may have it''s own brands , thus improving profit margin.
4. Business wise , it is indian foxconn ( definitely not in terms of volume)
5. Client base can increase, because leading international brands want to geographically diverse manufacturing base (other than china), due to geo political tension.
6. Growing middle class base , and their want of consumer goods (especially smart phone sales with affordable internet)
It is my personal opinion.
Definitely for listing gain , if not an investment.
I applied risky ipo apex frozengot 25 persent return
130.4. PavanM| Link| Bookmark|
September 6, 2017 10:31:39 AM
IPO Mentor (600+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
Hi Super Trader, still for issue price of 1766, it seems difficult to get 10% listing gain also. what is the listing price that you are strongly expecting for Dixon?
Why put money in risk when other Good options like capacitie is available . In TV interview promoter sey they are not interested for own brand as their father tried and failed in Weston TV brand . In Weston they default in SBI and Icici loans...