My recent text analysis glimpse of study.Considering budget session and post budget press release texts... Key words: Infrastructure, Steel, port, mining, iron etc. Method: word cloud. Note: sorry can't share image here. Still it's disable.
Nitin Gadkari statement on budget especially on infrastructure..."All raw materials used in infrastructure projects such as cement, steel and construction equipment generate revenue for the government in the form of taxes".
Chaman sponge iron as row material correlation. "Sponge iron is used in the iron and steel industry as a substitute for scrap in induction and electrical arc furnaces. Over the years, the shortage of expensive melting scrap has made sponge iron a significant raw material for manufacturing high quality steel."
572. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 9:57:22 AM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Whenever there is a large chunk that is outside the inner circle of LM and Promoters, prices generally don't move! The reason is obvious. LM and Promoters want to make money and they are not interested if someone else is making money from their shares in SHORT TERMS. For long-term investors who have trust in their business, they of course, don't mind!
@ssingh ji 🔥 Sir which other sme stocks you are holding currently rather than this one If you are comfortable than answer only Thank you 🙏
572.4. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 1:31:02 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Larger chunk of my portfolio has ‘NSE’ stock because wherever market goes, only brokers and exchanges make money and this ‘NSE’ is #1 worldwide in FnO and has market share of more than 90% in India for cash stocks etc. Back to your question, I have SME stocks which has been grown multifold already. I never hold any stock if it touches its IPO price. And hold only if the appreciation is more than 20% YOY basis. I have my own strategy. May sound stupid to others, but this works for me.
I am holding ‘Chaman’ and ‘Anlon’ from recently listed company.
I will sell ‘Chaman’ if it breaches ₹48/- price and will add more when it crosses its IPO listing price ₹68. Will keep on adding 1 lot after every ₹10 price jump. And will keep my SL trailing as well. Chaman seems the best SME company in recently listed IPOs.
I hope you now know my strategies and these can even help someone here too. 😊🙏🏻
Note: Please take advice from your financial advisor before making any investment. Something which works for me might not work for you. So please focus on saving capital first and then its growth. 🙏🏻🙏🏻
Thank you SSingh sir For answering my question & sharing your strategies This is definitely helpful for me as well as other members of the group Keep sharing your valuable ideas & knowledge It helps us a lot Thank again 🙏
569.1. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 12:55:43 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Lagta hai kisi HNI bhai ko meri baat pasand aa gayee.. 16% up now.. All the very best guys!! Keep holding and keep helping others to find multibaggars like this... Any other recently listed SME company which you see is available at: 1. Great valuations 2. Great business model 3. Good LM 4. Good promoters. Please share in the comments. Thanks.
@@SSingh Sir. In January-2023 Chaman first place place & Earthstahl & Alloys second place. Based on my AL/ML algorithms(Build model on last 3 years historical data... influencing variables-industry, GMP, Subscription, Revenue, Profit, Borrow, ratings by DD sir, LM past record, face value, size, and few macro economics parameter.....Statistical models- Random forest, Logistics regression).
569.4. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 1:11:13 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
@GuruMahadev. Nice to know. Where do you work? If you don't mind asking..
@SSingh sir. Currently working on it will inform soon, total 7 statistical algorithms; 1400 line python code have been implemented with 97% accuracy. still need to fine tune the model.
I'm a Senior Data scientist(IIM- Master's, [PhD]-IIT).... Working for 4th largest IT company in India(can't directly mention the name)..... 10+ years of experience in statistical models implementation. Now applying my knowledge to create my personal wealth.
569.11. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 2:03:15 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
What’s the best way to connect with you @Guru? I am into multiple ventures. A couple of them are known nation-wide. Let’s connect and see if we can come out with something worthy? 😊
@ JAI JAI GARVI GUJARAT. Thanks for your kind of words sir...
569.18. Arca| Link| Bookmark|
February 2, 2023 8:05:49 AM
(1000+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
@guru.mahadev Nice to see a data scientist in this group. I personally feel they are the future stock traders. Wish u all the best for your future trades and keep coming up with these kinds of analysis.
About your work, I would like to really appreciate and congratulate you. I also work on ML with Python. Mainly EfficientDet, clustering and model inferencing, so can understand a bit about what you are doing.
Like @Arca mentioned Good to know, data scientist in this group.
@DJ. My past experience in Applied AI/ML in stock market. Markowitz portfolio optimization, historic bubble prediction analysis, Macro economics influence analysis on stock market. Based on that collecting historic data & building predictive models.
Looking at the back record of vinod somani jee it may be possible he can sell tommorow or day after tomorrow...
568.3. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 10:08:26 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Looks like temporary parking but it’s good as short term traders and ipo allottees seem to be out or almost out or will be out after it crosses listing price. Keeping fingers crossed. 🤞
@Prem. agree with you but out of 10.29 L volume trade his contribution just 25%. also see price 63.23 it's almost near the upper circuit. and see his bulk trade history- baheti, Maks energy Etc... almost last minute trader. Conclusion: Chaman has all potential to become Multibagger, need to wait.....
@JJGG before sharing my view let me explain how analytics work; consider a simple hypothesis what is the correlation between Issue size v/s gain(%). in my last 6 months data it shows Correlation Analysis; Gain v/s issuesize:0.212128186(Means its positive correlation of value 0.2... consider scale -1 to +1. like this we have around 70+ variable created and analyzed. based on this AllE Tec is not solid multibagger option). but it will bounce back from issue price 90 then it will be around 30-70% in very slow period. Note: As a IT person my suggestion please keep an eye on AZURE news @Microsoft on Venders. Due to Azure popularity over Amazon it may effect otherwise it may adverse effect also. Better keep an eye on CLOUND domain recent developments.
@Gaurav DD dimer: I wish your message should come true tomorrow!!! If a stock have Multibagger potential then no short seller can't manipulate...
567. arvindarvind| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 1:23:54 PM
Top Contributor (1000+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Now i can say who ever buy above 60, they are not retailer. So now game is started. I will pray to got it move like eki and make me karorpati.
567.1. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 1:26:47 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
May all your wishes come true :)
566. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 1:24:44 PM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Bhailog, keep an eye on ANLON. Low bana ke dheere dheere aage badh raha hai.. CMP is 195. Disclaimer: Mere pass IPO wala maal hai. Aap log afford kar sakte hain to hee koodna after doing your own research. Just sharing my observation as I track it. Just keep an eye. :)
563.4. Imhilli| Link| Bookmark|
February 1, 2023 12:43:43 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Today it should settle at least 5%higher than yesterday's closing. I hope, it has already seen the bottom...very rare chance to go back to less than 50 level.
Isn't 210 crores loan is huge for sme?. Interest amount will cover all of the profit (expansion results (increase revenue & profit) need to be shown earlier by company)
Isme se thoda paisa public ke pass se le lete to!! Sme company public ke pass se Max kitna collect kr skti he ?
558.4. Imhilli| Link| Bookmark|
January 31, 2023 10:59:39 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Evaluation of SBI for any type of loan especially for SME type of enterprise is very stringent. Chaman has passed it ,that means, company has a good valuation and must be having very good credit rating. There might be some incubation period ... till then we have to keep patience.
@Imhilli Chaman Metallics’ manufacturing unit at Chandrapur, Maharashtra is spread across an area of around 63 acres of land. So collateral wont be an issue for them. The company plans all the expansion at the existing unit itself.
@CG addict. It's in metal sector and this sector needs time to perform. Better forget your holding for time being. SBI grant 210cr loan that's shows the potential of company, it's a huge amount for SME segment. I m still holding 2 lots.
They may have limited money and want to invest at better place than this, this might be one of the reason🧐
Abhi right price pe mil rha he to koi le nai rha aur Jab sabko Lena hoga tab price upper Jaa chuki hogi
554.2. Imhilli| Link| Bookmark|
January 31, 2023 10:12:21 AM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Right... but there is no certainty that wherever they put the money will earn more. Actually when market momentum is the driving force, no fundamental works. That's what happening here. Hope a reverse swing soon.
554.3. SSingh| Link| Bookmark|
January 31, 2023 10:41:25 AM
IPO Guru (1400+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
Cash crunch seems the issue. Another issue might be public holding too many shares which operator want to grab at lower prices before he starts his game. 👍