............... Astron paper & board mill...... ________________________________________ =>Incorporated in 2010,mainly associated with production of kraft paper and supply that to paper/boxes packaging industry, => complete fresh issue of 70cr => Major selling shareholder(promotor) AGL avg acquisition rate was 9rs (vs issue upper price 50rs) ________________________________________
M. Cap (50rs) = 232cr PAT cagR : 55% PBT cagr : 20% REVENUE caGr : 10% ... Past 3 yr CaGR''s...
Good Financing in taxes(All companies must have smart CA now a days!!) _________________________________________
Astron......... 23....... 1.26x......22%....10% South.......... 15.......0.9x.........9%...... .5% Ajit pulp.... .. 17.......0.5x........7%....... 5% Genus.......... 36........1.1x........2%........ 3% Jk paper....... 12........0.9x........13%.....13% NR Agarwal.. 10...... .0.75x......58%.....19% Star paper..... 7...... 1.3x........64%......13%
* last yr(2017) PE ConcL : NR Agarwal is good pick valuation wise but only in correction(if) , already too much upmove hppned !
Industry outlook : neutral, Low barrier business, many listed shares hv priced in nxt 1-2 good quarter at their CMP''s. ______________________________________ Valuation
Pre issue share : 32500000 Post issue share : 46500000
@upper band 50rs,
2017... Pre issue PE : 12, post issue PE : 23
2018 HY1 PAT : 9.4cr, Full yr estimated sales 200cr, PAT 16cr(margin 8%)
EPS : 3.44 => PE 2018 = 14.53
_______________________________________ PE 20 is imo good/fair for 10% revenue, 15% PBT CAGR growth given good promotor and future perspective.
@20 PE price = 68.8rs*(listing price)
If gives value = 1.5x sales = 1.5*200 =300cr Price = 65 rs(fair value)
1.8x sales = 77 rs (till 1 yr after list).
So in anyways after listing, it will become overvalued among listed peers. ______________________________________ Retail allotment :
Issue may oversubscribe by 30-35x or even higher in rii category, so rare allotment possible. 1/30 type.
________________________________________ Concl :
Apply......... For Listing gain.
For optimum profit subject to sell is At 5000...u sold at 67(good) At 6000...u sold at 71(better) At 7000...u sold at 75(best)
Gamble ji , I am finding West coast paper and Ruchira also attractive. But your views are more important.
115.5. gamble| Link| Bookmark|
December 14, 2017 9:48:33 AM
(1600+ Posts, 3900+ Likes)
Yes @Virushka (!! )
few names attractive in this segment PE wise but i m not sure about upcoming Outlook, plus had given like 200-500% return in small span
Every ind and stocks hv Saturation points, 3-4 yrs back mostly paper stock trading at 1-5% margin, now at 12-15% margin, so not sure if they can improve that anymore, i mean only bottom line improving abnormally,
U can pick as per your convenience!
115.6. Hari ji| Link| Bookmark|
December 14, 2017 1:29:22 PM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
@Gamble sir please give view on sme ipo (One Point One Solutions IPO) first time HSBC enter sme ipo. wait your comment GAMBLE SIR
@OPOS Not seen rhp in detail, but not sure about good listing gains, If you hv good holding capacity then can take risk. Otherwise not ''blind subscribe'' case imo.
115.8. Hari ji| Link| Bookmark|
December 15, 2017 7:48:38 AM
Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
Great aims. But knowledge will make you powerful overnight. Most of us dream, but dreams are dreams unless we act to achieve them.
If not 500 trillion, make 5 million in ishtock marckaet. Chittorgarh is a great avenue for you to achieve the dream. some gems are here. like cld, gamble, etc.
recetly listed IPO''s date was wrongly scheduled, money was stuck in one IPO and other IPO got missed. Non allotees of FSC and Shalby can apply in this one. Allotment will be tough, retail category can get subscribe more than 80x
Only point is small issue which will ensure50-60 times huge oversubscription. Otherwise nothing as such financial etc. Capital market has given only 30 out of 100 that is clear avoid.
@Market Kid - Just search on google and you can find many company with name starting with small letter for their logos. eg. -- asian paints, airtel, marico
amazon really?? It''s the most meaningful logo of all time,
It shows a to z with arrow cum smile, so you can not use capital A to small z, Either use A to Z or a to z, understood?
Marico - their logo contain peaceful designed capital letter M not m.
Airtel logo was earlier Airtel but changed airtel and we all know what happened after that !!
Asian paint contain small a just because of they have to match design with p letter
Still many logos contains first small case letter , but they have strong reason, mainly pronunciation reasons(facebook,moneycontrol,etc type)
Mostly when second letter is a, e, i, o, u
BTW
astron paper name is copied from star paper ,check this out
astron means star!
element active in English word formation from mid-18c. and meaning "star or celestial body; outer space," from Greek astro-, stem and comb. form of astron "star," related to aster "star" (see star (n.)). In ancient Greek, aster typically was "a star" and astron mostly in plural, "the stars."
I THINK THIS ISSUE WILL BE OVERSUBSCRIBED AT LEAST 25X IN RETAIL SO ALLOTMENT CHANCES ARE VERY LESS BUT CHANCE OF NEGATIVE LISTING IS TOO REMOTE SO IF YOU HAVE IDLE MONEY IN YOUR BANK ACCOUNT, THEN WHY NOT APPLY THROUGH ASBA AND TAKE A CHANCE AND PARTICIPATE IN LOTTERY !! IF YOU ARE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET ALLOTMENT, THEN YOU MAT EARN SOMETHING ANYWHERE ABOUT 3000-8000 RUPEES.