206.1. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 6:25:29 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
Thanks for the info Harit. So as it is more than 1x application wise it''ll go through lottery only and no difference between 1lot or 14lot application?
It''s hard to understand small investors who compain about no luck with allotment. But here you have a relatively safe IPO, solid brand name, decent financials but poor response
That''s true. Rather than fundamentals, investors are these days looking for short term profit and they dont want to take risk which is needed for investments in shares
@ultrasnow @ Ahire R, you people are very correct.
@Avinash, I have read few of your posts, your posts are so matured and informative. you deserve to an IPO Guru. please take this as a complement and continue with your good posts.
205.6. ipo share| Link| Bookmark|
October 2, 2021 9:41:54 AM
IPO Guru (1600+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
@ultasnow Reason might be deterioration in performance of last few years. Income consistently falling, mf schemes not performing in comparison to others like mirae asset, dsp black rock, sbi, hdfc etc. Huge competition in the space.
205.7. ipo share| Link| Bookmark|
October 2, 2021 9:48:36 AM
IPO Guru (1600+ Posts, 800+ Likes)
@ultrasnow It is no justifiable to put entire blame on retail investors. Afterall, purpose of applying in IPO is to make money. Companies are also to be blamed for such high valuations. If valuations are moderate, they don''t need to engage a dozen lead managers. They are willing to pay huge amount to lead managers but don''t want to give some prifit margin to small investors.
205.8. CHD| Link| Bookmark|
October 2, 2021 10:45:19 AM
(1100+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
Rich pricing of the issued shares ....and crowded IPO scene at the moment .....are the main reasons for a poor show of this IPO ....
204. hbk| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 8:00:48 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
On every IPO page comments are flooded with issues in UPI mandate. Why not use ASBA/netbanking instead? Faster application, no need to accept mandate, earlier lien lifted, no issues like application failed or amount blocked even after non-allotment or amount not deducted even after allotment.
When you are in confusion and want to see last day final subscription and GMP on the next trading day such as this ipo go for upi.When you are sure about applying like paras go for ASBA. ASBA pros faster refund cons no cancellation after last bidding day UPI pros cancellation allowed upto 12.00 pm on the day next to last bidding day cons slower refund
204.3. hbk| Link| Bookmark|
October 2, 2021 2:10:43 AM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@RONNE LEWIS. I agree. But, why apply when you are uncertain and want to cancel based on the subscriptions? If unsure, its better to refrain from applying. Its as simple as that. When you are caught in two minds, markets never rewards you. Same funda applies in secondary market. If unsure about a scrip, just book loss. And if want to take out profit, just exit. If caught in two minds, you most of the times regret later. But, people want assured sort-term returns.
Looking @ your subscription number , I wish some day you bring some SME IPOs. Surely we shall apply. You can do it very easily.Keep some special reservation portion for chittorgarh members. :)
202.2. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 6:22:33 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
Good one jstm 😄 With his long-term holding capability and skill he should start an AMC, then join us in pre ipo and then float IPO showing his successful results 😄👍
Ok, if you people agree to take up the positions as below, I am ready to float a SME Chairman - jstm CEO - sdz BOD - MogPunisher, Cyber dude, Maharook
:P
201. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 2:06:25 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
Totally Surprising.. It''s 1pm and HNI not even 1x. Expected it to be subdued but not this low 😄 Is it due to bad financials or high pricing or due to slightly negative market conditions?
201.1. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:05:27 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
As it is good brand and good financials Took risk and applied with Half force 250 lots in HNI😂😂. With 2-3x, It''ll be my highest exposure in a single stock (both primary and secondary) with 10-17lk worth allotment😱. Hope it''ll not slap me with more than -10% loss even if it goes other direction 🙏☹️
201.3. DuckkyDuck| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:14:56 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
sdz- i am also confused.. for how many lots should i apply. my full force is 72 lots. So if i apply with that i will be alloted 24 lots(assuming 3x subs) 24 lots too much for me. If list 10% discount then it will be 36k loss. Not able to decide till now howmany lots to apply.. Only 15minute remaining.
@SDZ, QIB''s also betting high. Hopefully, All is well :)
thanks
201.7. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:28:17 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
@Ducky...It looks like -5% to +5% type IPO on listing day mostly, so Apply only if you are not afraid to book loss on listing day/week or can hold for 3-6 months for 10%+ profit
I have applied for a few lots in retail....will preserve my funds for upcoming IPOs.
201.10. DuckkyDuck| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:41:14 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
sdz- i was going in with 66 lots. I could hold 20-22 lots even if list in discount, till next ipo comes. so i was taking risk. But destiny has other plans. Again i tried applying from ICICI direct and for HNI option i got "IPO issue already closed". Even though there page clear mentions closed timing as 4.30Pm today. There is no seperate mention of retail and hni times. So i couldn''t apply as HNI in this. I switched to retail applied retail application. Lets see.
201.11. jajo| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:42:52 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
Hope you will not incur any loss unless market is in big correction mode during the listing. The Company have reputed promoters, solid brand value, and is amongst Top five AMCs. Only concern is almost fully valued, hardly left 10% premium for the IPO investors
201.12. DuckkyDuck| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:43:32 PM
Top Contributor (200+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
sdz - And to be clear, with current figuress i dont think it will list in discount. It can list in 5% up. But its subjected to market condition at listing time. If market remain red that time .. then only discount listing.
201.13. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:43:42 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
All the best @MRavi, @Gourav...Hope we''ll all make good profits along with QIBs 👍😁
my bet is very very high on this IPO compare to any recent IPO''s with 30760 lots through 2 HNI accounts. (at the time of application, NII was about 2.13 X only), now feel is much less riskier as QIB fig and NII fig are gone up significantly
Thanks
201.15. jajo| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:59:14 PM
Top Contributor (300+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@sdz, cheer up... MFs have applied for over 3 cr shares. not bad numbers
@DuckkyDuck same here:) I knew ICICI does not take HNI applications after 3 pm. It happened with me at the time of Tatva IPO. Just to confirm I tried to apply one small HNI application at 3:45 it did not take. So I applied 4 retail applications of 1 lot each, to compensate for time and efforts spent on this IPO. Best wish to all investors...
201.20. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 5:28:10 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
@MRavi...i missed your message due to posting process delays here (still my post stays true 😄). 4.38cr, so you are going to get about 1cr Allotment. All the best
so looks like most of NIIs are for Aditya Birla AMC is from this forum only.. so if you guys don''t sell on the listing day there will be not much pressure on the selling side and the chances of share price going higher is more.
201.25. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 8:58:00 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
@Cyberdude... ABSL IPO received bids worth rs1,700cr in NII category, chittorgarh members contribution could be 1% of that who surely can''t outplay big operators and intraday shorters 😜
@sdz, its too low 1%. many silent NII are here in this forum can contribute easily 10% to my opinion. @cyberdude, surely, I will not be in the sellers list on listing day or few quarters.
Thanks
200. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 8:00:11 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 22000+ Likes)
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC IPO
GMP Rs. 08/- Sellers Only
200.1. sdz| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 9:03:43 PM
IPO Guru (1200+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
C''mon EagleEye... Waiting for your future post reversing this 08 to 80 in 10 days 😀
Bhim upi mandate validation shows unsuccessful. Brokers menu shows that blocking of fund is rejected by sponsored bank (axis bk) for technical reason for two applications. But the fund is blocked. The same thing happened in case of Cams ipo but I got allotment. Now what to happen !
This has a chance of discounted listing and then moving up. note: I have applied 5 lots & will be hoping for positive listing.
194. Adv Sarin| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 8:11:39 PM
Top Contributor (300 Posts, 100+ Likes)
In review Paras & Ami organics Zomato are given rating "May Apply" but Sansera & Aditya Birla got "Apply" Ratings. What it means. May Apply is better than apply or people feel So.
Priced in such a manner that it left nothing on the table for IPO investors. At 39 PE its same as NAM, and a little less than HDFC AMC and more than UTI AMC.
I saw an interview where the person representing this company said that HDFC AMC trades at much higher PE and therefore their PE is justified.
Bhai how can you compare yourself to the sector leader and say you also deserve the same PE.
Also after that HDFC AMC has also fallen and the valuation gap has closed between almost all AMCs.. so does not seem to be any scope of valuation rerating and high listing gains in this IPO (also confirmed by lackluster subscription figures in all categories).
I have not applied. Preserving capital for the next set of IPOs.
It is a kind request to not to mislead others. Please get your data corrected.
192.6. Scrip| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 7:55:38 PM
Top Contributor (500+ Posts, 200+ Likes)
@ ipo share Top 5 Largest AMC in India with their market share. 1. SBI - 15.67% 2. ICICI - 12.83% 3. HDFC - 12.52% 4. Aditya Birla - 8.25% 5. Kotak Mahindra - 7.41%
It doesn''t look like as a competition between horse and donkey.
FYI HDFC AMC lost their 2nd position to ICICI in last quarter. Beside that their QoQ growth in AUM was the least among the Top 10.
Being Positive... I have applied for 4 lots in retail category... Whenever, I see negativity about any IPO, I see it as an opportunity and a learning lesson. It may give descent gains over short to mid term.
I have applied through 6 Retail and 36 Lots in Shareholder category.
I am confident that AMC stocks will provide better returns ( due to High cash flow and low capital intensive nature business).
I am confident that they will post better quarterly results for Q2 and in case need to hold for long term( due to -ve listing) , we can expect dividend also along with Q2 results.
@Ashoke Sarkar, Thanks, but Its only 61520 shares I have applied. (regret for my earlier wrong message)
188. Jetha Lal| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:19:38 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 2100+ Likes)
The people who are talking about long term because of brand value of Aditya Birla then why doesn''t this brand name work for Aditya Birla capital which has eroded half of wealth since its listing 3 years back. If anyone has to go for long term then why should he/she go with market leader with strong parentage, management and decent valuation after recent fall?
That''s because two siblings belonging to one family could be entirely different social animals. One could be a saint and the other? a sociopath. Positivity is everything. Um....Why don''t you look at Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail or Hindalco or Grasim for a change?
As per my analysis , Birla Capital is having more of NBFC than non NBFC portfolio. as NBFCs are facing troubles these days , i guess that lead to valuation issues.
I guess once value unlocking happens , it should come back with good returns
ABSL AMC should unlock good value for AB capital and similarly others
188.3. Jetha Lal| Link| Bookmark|
October 1, 2021 4:42:44 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 2100+ Likes)
IPO Baby I looked at AB Capital because probably same management were running this business and they never wanted to reward shareholders.
Aditya Birla AMC and Aditya Birla Capital is totally different nature of businesses. One managing the funds, service provider. Second one is the lender. Few players like DHFL, Altico etc become insolvent due to Asset Liability mismatches. Edelweiss, Aditya Birla Capital, L&T Finance Holdings and few more all have stressed book portfolio due to COVID.
It''s absolutely correct on your part to be a bit apprehensive here. But most Birla run companies have rewarded shareholders in the form of capital appreciation. This is not GIC or NIA type toy that makes every baby who holds it cry. It''s the name that matters the most in the markets. and here in the name of BIRLA we invest.