Last day apply karne ke bad gmp down kyon hota hai
13. MuStrFc| Link| Bookmark|
October 22, 2024 11:48:55 PM
IPO Guru (3100+ Posts, 2400+ Likes)
LM record is poor. 85% underwriting is with the MM which also has limited track and not so promising. Moreover anchors could not be arranged leaving the QIB portion mere 10% despite being a book built issue ?!! Turbulent markets further add to these woes. Post ipo promoter holding is around 69%.
Co. operates in plastic components especially for automotive sector (may not be treated well being a auto proxy in the current market sentiments); have been in business for over 29 years from 1995. 1st gen but experienced promoter. Main operations are in injection moulding and blow moulding with over 600 components in their fleet that pertain to commercial auto vehciles for under the hood, exterior, interior parts.
Commercial vehicle is main focus. Volvo- Eicher is major tie-up (around 80% revenues from single client). Others are Tafe, Varroc, Zf Automotive, Hettich furniture. Also has Bharat Benz tie up at small scale. No aim to go into passenger vehicle. Plans to enter into bigger components like grills, fenders, mudguards. Engineering bushing is a prospect (engineering plastics with moulding and machining) in coming 6 months alongwith EV parts. Capacity expansion is to be done in existing land (shed creation) as space for installing more machines is ample. Starts in 4 months from now and full execution continues till 2 yrs ahead. (No mention of what the total capacity will be after this capex). FY24 and Q1 FY25 focus has been on big ticket products, efficient resource management adding to PAT margins.Top line is slow due to deferred auto projects also visible in increased inventory which should be gradually reduced. 20% growth expected YoY for which orders already available. Current capacity is 1975 MTPA, utilised for 75%. 85% revenues from automotive parts at 3 major locations (1 in Vasai and 2 Pithampur). Client concentration is high and a persisting issue with top 10 customers cater to 98%. Additional 25 cr revenues is expected from partnership with CVG India over next 2 years.
Out of IPO proceeds 16.5 cr are for erecting new shed and machinery. 1 cr for Solar panels to save power cost (almost 50% reduction claimed by mgmt in power costs). Additional 2.23 cr is for repayment of borrowings. They have ventured into supplying connectors for solar panels under the brand name Sunconnect, optimum results for which is visible by FY26.
There are some delays in corporate filings and governance is not upto the mark. IPO price is near 19 P/E on trailing 12 months data. Difficult at this stage to annualise the Q1 FY25 figures when growth other than Q1 has been lower. Peers shown are Varroc & Uno Minda which are just not comparable. Still, ideal range for the type of this business should be 25 - 30 P/E.
The work done by LM and the way they promote their P/E with the non sensical peers mentioned is a big worry. Growth is not robust outright. Short term sentiment is slightly positive given how well the existing business is run so far. Medium term depends on post listing execution relative to capex being done
13.1. Old.Fox| Link| Bookmark|
October 23, 2024 10:04:23 AM
IPO Mentor (900+ Posts, 400+ Likes)
Danish Power looks good. All others are ok ok..OBSC Perfection first & Premium Plast second option can be considered. Time is there..check the QIB subs and market sentiment and then apply on the last day.
5. G profit| Link| Bookmark|
October 17, 2024 5:59:42 PM
IPO Mentor (1200+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Will Premium plast give any premium(on listing)? May be atleast, name PREMIUM will ever exist. 😂 😂
5.1. SVH| Link| Bookmark|
October 17, 2024 10:20:07 PM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 3700+ Likes)
This LM's previous issues have +35% premium & listed/CMP at -35%.
By this formula & currrent market situation , premium of premium should be at least 70% else other IPOs are there so nothing to worry to kick 1 of the IPOs.
🙏👍
5.2. SVH| Link| Bookmark|
October 28, 2024 11:44:52 AM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 3700+ Likes)
20-25% premium is not enough for Khandwala
🙏👍
4. SVH| Link| Bookmark|
October 16, 2024 11:33:26 AM
IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 3700+ Likes)
Beware Again Khandwala Again 10% QIB only Khandwala manipulated QIB portion in Phoenix also which listed in discount