Equity dilution is done by 10% and post FPO the government holding comes to 80%, so in these 10% (50% is reserved for QIB, 35% for retail, 15% for HNI) so if HNI and retail is not subscribed heavily it is good for retail allotment and also there will be less selling pressure. Also the P/E of the company will be around 17 if it does an EPS of 17 for FY10-11 and also market will be giving more importance to forward EPS than trailing EPS. And there is no comparable listed peers it demands a premium valuation. The order book stands at 6300 crores which provides visibility for next 2 to 3 years. It has been growing at an CAGR of 47% in topline and bottoline for the past four years. Also it is dividend paying company and 5% discount is given for retail investors, so we will get at 275.5 if the issue is subscribed at the higher end of the band which is likely as per subscription figures and if is done at lower end then will be more lucky. If it does an EPS of 17 in FY11 then P/E comes to 16 at 275.5. Taking 19 to 20 P/E for an excellent company like this, 320-340 is the fair value it should trade at post listing. Even if does list at 300 if market conditions are bad, then also we will get a decent profit. But must have portfolio for long term.
If vegetable price rises, people won't buy, they bargain. However, if share price decreases, people will run-away. But, as the share price increases, whole world will chase to buy.
This is a forum where everyone reads other's views on the IPOs.If you use kannada which most of the people except kannadigas dont understand, wats the use??
Please refrain from using regional languages here.
EIL : COST TO RETAIL = 275.5 TIMES OVRSBCRBD = 2.5 PRICE AT LISTING = 290-295 GAIN PER 1 LAC APJCN = RS 2700
SKS : COST TO RETAIL = 935 TIMES OVRSBCRBD = 2.5 PRICE AT LISTING = 1040-1050 GAIN PER 1 LAC APJCN = RS 4800
IN BOTH THE IPOS LISTING EXPECTATIONS ARE ON MODERATE SIDE THAT LISTING PRICE IS VERY MUCH POSSIBLE IF MARKETS REMAINS IN SAME MOOD TILL THEY LISTED.
EIL HAS MORE RISK TO FALL TOWARDS ISSUE PRICE TILL U GET THE SHARES IN FPO, GOOD CO BUT NOT TOO EXCITING BOTH IN TERMS OF BUSINESS AND VALN, PAST TRENDS IN GOVT FPOS/IPOS INDICATE LOWER GAINS.
WHEREAS SKS INSPITE HIGH VALN, THOUGH NOT HIGH IF U COMPARE GLOBAL MF COS, HAS VERY VERY EXCITING BUSINESS MODEL, DIFFERENT TYPE LIKE JUBLIANT, COX ETC.IT WILL COMMAND GOOD SCARCITY PREMIUM POST LISTING BECAUSE THERE IS NO SUCH CO LISTED EXCEPT SE INVST WHICH IS TOO SMALL FOR FIIS.
TAKE DECISION AS PER UR HEART AND MIND AND GO FOR THE KILL. DONT CONFUSED MUCH IN RATIO OF ALLOCATION BETWEEN EIL AND SKS LIKE ME, MY FINALS ALLOCATION IS STILL IN DILEMA.
DEAR VT,by the time u have received view of equity master u hasve now miss the bus..ask saharanppuri,he might have applied in this fpo..better luck next time